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0:01Hello everyone. Um good morning from Beijing, China. Um this is the second of our monthly um live streams. And what I'm going to do in uh this morning's live stream is give you an overview of current events uh from this past week. So, I'm going to share my screen with everyone.
Um, and what I'm going to do is um, sorry, let me um, so a lot is just getting in. Um, we have 125 so far on the live stream. So, thank you everyone for making the time to join me uh, today. Okay. So, um I'm going to show the screen.
Okay. So, um we're going to go and look at the uh Okay. So, the first major news item today is um on Sunday the World Cup, right, between Argentina and Spain. And uh um I want to argue to you today that this is actually a major geopolitical event. and what happens in the game is going to tell us a lot about the current state of the world.
So um right now on poly market Spain is favored to win because if you
2:03just looked at their performance this world cup clearly Spain has a superior team to um Argentina. In fact, Poly Market has um Spain winning at the odds of Spain winning are about 59%. Which is very very high uh considering this is the World Cup final. I think that there's a lot of people who are upset at how unfair this World Cup has been. So, if you compare uh Argentina's uh matches in 2022 versus uh this year, it's not end day.
Uh so, to get to the finals, they had to defeat um the Netherlands uh and Croatia. And in this year's matchup, they had to defeat uh Egypt and Switzerland uh and England. um and whereas Spain had to defeat uh Portugal, Belgium and France. So it seems Argentina has the much easier bracket. Um also a lot of people felt that the officials were siding with Argentina on many important decisions.
So the big question for us is why would this matter geopolitically? Well, one import one important thing to remember is like Spain uh has been one of the most u persistent critics of Israel these past two years and Argentina has been one of the most um persistent advocates and supporters of um Israel these past two years. Uh the Spanish government famously has a bad relationship with Israel. The Argentina government uh under Jav Mele famously has a very strong relationship
4:05with um the government of Israel. Nanyahu being Nanyahu 7 hours ago threatened Spain and he said that well they might experience sudden power outages and train accidents could happen. Um and this is a direct threat to the fact that Spain has been a very vocal critic of Israel uh these past two years. Messi is uh has is very very close with the Israeli government. Uh so this is him um uh in the Western Wall and this is actually a very good article by Mint Press News.
Uh Alan Mloud is the journalist. This was published uh a couple days ago. Um but basically he shows us that Nessie has had a very long and very strong relationship with Israel. So he writes that um Len Messi he of course is the most famous footballer in the world and therefore you would think that he'd be very careful as to who he associates with. But that is why many were surprised when in 2020 he announced a partnership with Orcam, a relatively small Israeli AI firm that makes wearable artificial devices similar to Google gas.
Or markets itself as helping visually impaired people live more fulfilling lives. Messi became its global brand ambassador in the face of the company. So this is a huge coup d'eta for this very small company. How are they able to afford um such a prestigious brand ambassador as NES? Well, it turns out this company um is an outgrowth of the Israeli national security state like many act
6:05like many um of these tech companies. Um it's called unit 8 820 sorry 8 8200. Um the article goes on and says that Messi has has always had a very strong relationship with Israel. In fact, uh what we know is that in his 2017 wedding, and this was when he was 30 years old, um the is the the Israelis provide security for the wedding and um now um his security is handled by elite force of former Israeli agents who plan his every move especially internationally. Okay.
So that Messi is very very close with um Argentina. And this is important because la um um a month and a half ago on May 30th, I wrote about how Peter Theo was making moves on Argentina and um Argentina may become a resource colony of Israel in the future. And so it is very important to uh for Israel to control the political landscape of Argentina. So if I'm Israel and the thing about the is Israel uh Israelis is they think very long term. I want someone like me to become president of Argentina in which case uh whatever he does the Argentinian people will agree with.
So I think that's what's happening. I think like uh Messi is being set up uh to be the next president of Argentina after Malay retires in maybe five years time and Messi will probably be there for the next 20 to 40 years doing the bidding of the Zionist as well as transnational capital. So this is a very important World Cup because if in fact Arguino wins, Anessa wins um uh the MVP
8:06the golden boot award and if it is won in dramatic fashion meaning scores the winning goal and he is essentially a allconquering champion he's like Achilles in football um then the people aren't tremendous pride side and they will feel a tremendous sense of gratitude to him and this they will essentially vote to make him king of um Argentina. So this is a very very important match to watch. My intuition I'm actually I actually think Spain may win. So do not please do not take this as betting advice. Don't listen to my presentation and think, "Oh, well, well, Argentina is gonna win for sure.
Let me bet on Argentina on Py market because they're at 41% to win, so it's good money." Um, no. Um, I actually don't know who will win. My intuition is that Spain is a stronger team and that Spain may win. Um, and my argument is that, okay, FIFA is essentially about making money. So, I can understand that they would rig a lot of games in order to ensure the top final four are France, England, Spain, and Argentina because these are the four teams with the most market appeal.
So, um, FIFA is trying to expand soccer into America because it is really the largest market. And so it would make sense for FIFA to conjure as much controversy, as much marketing, and as much allure as possible. And you do that by placing the top four teams into the semi-finals, right? You don't want Algeria, Egypt, and Morocco in there because they they don't have as much market appeal as France and England,
10:08Argentina, and Spain. So, I can understand why they would cheat to get to the semi-finals, but I but I think that um if they were to cheat in the finals when the entire world is watching, that may be a bridge too far for them. And I think that Spain uh because it has faced so many tough opponents um it is pro probably much um more practice much more confident than Argentina. That said Argentina is the world champion. Uh they have experience um playing in the finals and Messi he isn't a tremendous u player.
I mean, it's magic what he does on the football field. I saw his game against France in last in um the 2022 World Cup and his performance was just outstanding. Uh he's so strategic. He's so patient. Um and he's a killer.
I mean, when he sees this opportunity, he uh he's a clincher. So, I'm torn as to who will win. Uh, I'll watch the game like everyone else, but I will say that if it's clear that uh FIFA is rigging the game in favor of Argentina, if for whatever reason uh Messi um uh wins uh if Messi scores the winning goal in the game, then I think that is clear. Transational Capital and Zionism wants Messi to be president of Argentina. And honestly, I think he'd be a very good president uh of Argentina.
Whether or not he would completely do the bidding of Zionism in transational capital, we'll have to see. Um a lot of these people, people like Messi, they the mentality is very different from uh our mentality and sometimes their behavior can be unpredictable. Okay, so
12:08that is the World Cup um and why it's important for geopolitics. Um I have a moderator uh Cassie who is looking at the live stream. So you there's any questions or comments about any anything I say during this live stream uh she will forward to me on uh WhatsApp and I will respond in real time. Um so I I want to hope I hope to make this as interactive as uh possible. Okay.
So that is the World Cup. Let's move on. Okay. So, another big news item coming from this week is that um sorry um Cassie just set sent me a um a couple of questions. So, curious curs cat asks number one Canada mentioned major investments in defense and says they need to support Ukraine war s alignment of European countries Ukraine and France.
What do you think this result in Canada? Balakistan clearly depends on Pakistan. what is happening in South Asia politics not your opinion where is this leaning okay these are great points exactly yeah so point number one is that Canada is going to support the war in Ukraine and so I think this uh Ukraine war will become a forever war for NATO and for the five eyes so basically Canada is moving towards a war economy and it makes a lot of sense because the Canadian economy is not doing well and um Canada's a lot of resources. So, it makes sense for Canada to participate in this uh war against Ukraine. Also, Canada's a resource colony for Great Britain and uh the current prime minister Mark Carney, he's clearly an agent of um of England, an agent of transnational capital.
So, yes, Canada will involve itself in the war. um expect a shift towards wart timing
14:08manufacturing capacity also expect u possibly a national draft at some point number twoan declare independence from Pakistan this is really important because if I'm the United States and I need to launch a ground invasion of Iran I recognize that this is going to be a pain in the ass to take many many years and I need to attack Iran from multiple vectors basically as from as many vectors as possible. So, uh, one vector is, of course, a Kurdish incursion from Iraq, and we're already seeing that, uh, uh, take hold, where, um, the Americans are now arming the Kurds and financing the Kurds, and so they will attack Iran from the, um, northwest. Balakistan is very important because that has always been a region of tremendous tension between Iran and the locals. And so Palakistan uh declaring independence from Pakistan, it basically absolves Pakistan from any responsibility in what will happen next, which is basically the Americans want special forces to rally the tribes people and cause as much ethnic conflict as possible in the southeast of Iran. And why the Americans are doing this is basically trying to force out the IRGC, trying to force them um into a ground offensive in order to stabilize both the souththeast and northwest.
That's the intention. I don't think it will work because the IRGC recognizes that the key to victory is control over Hammuz and its ability to threaten uh the GCC. So what's happening in Balakiststan, what's happening in um Kurdish Iran is not really significant in in the grand scheme of things. Uh Iran is a huge country, but we'll talk more about this as time progresses. Uh another question is
16:08um from um in Argentina who says that I'm from Argentina and we're following these moves closely. Malay is giving our lands for nothing. Uh and Theo has already bought a lot. That's exactly right. Right.
Right. So the entire intention is to turn Argentina into a resource colony for transnational capital and so both Israel and the are working hard to make this happen. This Argentina is the last great investment opportunity in the world. So think about it where Argentina it's pristine land. It's not really developed.
um it is protected um from world conflict because it is so um far away from everyone and it's surrounded by I mean Argentina doesn't really have any enemies right Brazil will not will not declare war of anything soon so if I'm in transational capital I'm thinking like where in the world could I develop a country to be the next global superpower of the world it would be Argentina I think Argentina is really the best investment. Um, another possibility is Australia, but the thing about Australia is that um, it's a really deop economy and it's going to cost me a lot of money to try to take over Australia. Where where's where it's going to cost me nothing to take over Argentina? Argentina has a bankrupt economy. So, so I think that um this World Cup uh if Messi wins um and if um he becomes president of United States, oh sorry, if he becomes president of Argentina, then I think that transational capital and Zionism will gain a very strong foothold in Argentina.
They can remake Argentina into their image, which is basically to make it into the new the new United States, a um a country with tremendous energy. Um and as the world fights then Archina will provide the weapons, resource and financing and Archina
18:10through mass immigration will slowly expand outwards to encompass uh its neighbors and take over the entire South American um hemisphere and that I think is is is the intention here. Okay, let's look at some more um questions. Choke point of freedom asked DeMarco for the game to France. I didn't watch that game, but I will say that um the World Cup seems a bit rigged to me. Um it seems um FIFA has some intentions and either um and it's possible some of the players and some of the officials know of this intention and they're just playing along, right?
because ultimately these soccer players they make more money in the longer term by cooperating than by uh resisting. Victor says is Argentina considered proxy for US and Israel? Not now. Um Israel Argentina is not considered proxy for US and Israel. If I'm Israel and I'm tr and I'm tr capital, my play is this.
My play is to first turn Archia into a resource colony for Israel, right? Because as Israel conducts its wars in the Middle East, as it establishes the greater Israel project, it will need a lot of resources and the Western Hemisphere can become very chaotic as the United States breaks on the civil war and as the United States attempts to control the entire Western Hemisphere. um Argentina seems like a safe bet because it's cheap to invest in and um it has a lot of resources, but over time what you want to turn what what you want to do is re is basically remake Argentina into the new United States and become the new superpower of the world. That I think is is the intention here. Okay.
Uh let's look at uh this is from Fred. [clears throat]
20:11With Peter Theo continue the network state auditioning in Argentina, should we expect to see some attempts to increase cooperation with the Vatican and Peter Theo since Argentina's population is 67% Catholic? Um I already I think there's already a lot of cooperation between Peter Theo and the Vatican. Okay. So yes, I understand that um the pope has issued um uh has said that AI is a new tower of babel and Peter Theo basically uh says that the pope is an agent of China. Guys, this is all theater.
Uh think about this where Peter Theo is a major sponsor of JD Vance. JD Vance recently converted to Catholicism and JD Vance um visited Pope Francis and then a few days later Pope Francis died and then you had an American become pope. So there's a lot of shenanigans going u behind the scene but basically the Vatican Peter Theo have a lot more in common than they have um in difference and I I see the two as very strong allies and you're absolutely right in that uh Peter feel appreciates that Argentina is 67% Catholic and the Vatican is very strong in Argentina and throughout South America. So, uh, if Peter Peter Theal, um, uh, promotes an network state, he's probably going to promote a network Catholic state, uh, in Argentina. So, thanks for that, Fred.
Um, Erin says, "Historically, war economies like 40% of GDP, 5% is hardly war economy. Are you talking about future trend?" Yes, that that's exactly what I'm saying. I'm saying that in Canada and other places, the economy is going to No one's working. No one's the the economy is not doing very well. So the easy solution is to shift it to wartime production.
So it's basically statemandated uh manufacturing and this this is what we saw in leadup to World War II and
22:12during World War II. It's great for the economy. Okay. So so this is something African Canada is heading towards. So thanks for that Erin.
Uh UGS. Oh yes, the propaganda battle between Argentina and England regarding the Folk Islands. Yes. Yes. This is a great point.
Thank you so much for pointing this out. So um the United States wants to enforce a Monroe Doctrine and one area uh of contention will will of course be the Folkland Islands because what the Monroe doctrine says is that no European power shall inter interfere in the internal affairs of the Western Hemisphere. And now you have England controlling the Faulland Islands. So I think what's going to happen is that eventually Argentina is going to reclaim the Faulland Islands and there's very little England can do about it. Again, this is the idea of uh making Argentina into into resource colony of Israel.
And um if you remember uh during the World Cup, the Argentinians, the Argentinian team unfurled a banner saying basically the Folk Islands um they didn't call the Focal Islands, of course, that's the English name, but they say the Folk Islands belongs to Argentina and so and already there's already disputes between Argentina and England. So I think that after this World Cup after a lot of understand energy is galvanized and I think the next move is to reclaim the Fland Islands and again with American support uh and it's really the Americans who are pushing this there's very little that um England can do about this. All right so thanks for that. That's a great point. Yes, the Folkland Islands will be a source of contention over the next couple years.
Who is behind FIFA? Who are the individuals that are FIFA? That's a great question. Um, so I imagine the people behind FIFA are also the people behind the IOC and other major sporting organizations. These are very powerful
24:12families that have links to organized crime and who are really the most powerful families in um um in Europe. So think of the NFL, right? Who who are these uh sports team owners? Well, I would imagine they're basically like the godfather of their region. These are billionaires who control organized crime, who control a lot of things, uh who control politics.
Um these are among the most powerful people in the world and they recognize that uh football is really has become a substitute for war and it is the best mechanism to control the psychology of the masses. And so you can imagine a lot of football, a lot of soccer, it's rigged uh for political purposes. So that's what I imagine who FIFA is. The people you see, by the way, the people you see um up front, people you see on stage, they're just actors, right? Also, think about how FIFA gave President Trump the FIFA um peace prize.
If you are just a sporting organization, why would you do that? So, uh, I I think you're you're right, Joyce. I think that FIFA is heavily infiltrated by Zionism and transnational capital. And we can tell just by the way that Iran was treated during the World Cup, by the way Argentina is is basically being given a red carpet treatment uh, and being shown the direct path to the finals and the fact that um, a lot of these games seem to be um, heavily biased. So they introduce VR not to create a more objective sportsmanlike environment.
They introduce V in order to uh dictate the outcomes that they want. Okay. And a lot of these outcomes are political. Um Earl Gray asks, "If you haven't yet, have you thought about um Aran World War II Nazi
26:12elites re relocating there?" Oh yeah, this is pretty well known. I mean it's not a conspiracy at all. Yes, there are lots of Nazis in Argentina and Brazil. In fact, Argentina made a point of welcoming uh Nazis. Argentina was very supportive of Naz of the Nazis during World War II and um as well as the Vatican and they they were very uh welcoming of the Nazis.
In fact, Aran went out of it way to smuggle Nazis into the country. And you can argue that a lot of the business elite, a lot of the political elite um um come from a Nazi influence background. The Nazis are very powerful, have been become a tremendous influence in Argentina. But that doesn't mean that the Nazis and the Zionists have any conflict. The Nazis are committed to the ideology.
The Zionists are committed to their ideology and both want to see Argentina as a superpower in the world. Okay. Um, curcat, do you suspect any major events will coincide with the World Cup finals to take advantage of so much attention on one event? Would that be too much obvious a move? Yeah, I mean I originally thought there might be a full leg attack during the World Cup, but given that um um Argentina will probably win the World Cup, then they won't do that.
Um they they basically want to um get Argentina to feel good about itself so that they can promote the next phase of the um of the agenda. So again, I don't know who's going to win the World Cup. My logic tells me it's Argentina. My intuition tells me it's Spain. I can't tell you.
But what I will tell you that is if Argentina wins and if it's clear that the game is rigged in favor of Argentina and and it is Messi who u becomes the hero of the game, then I
28:12think that it's all scripted. It's all rigged and Messi will become the next president of Argentina and do the bidding of Zionism and transnational capital. Okay, so thanks for all these great questions. Um, the Fland Island piece is really, really key. I expect that after the World Cup, very shortly, the Fen Islands will become a huge issue in Argentina.
Okay, so let's continue. So, another big news item from this week is uh President Trump Thursday evening, he gives a uh address saying that he's uncovered evidence that China um tried to interfere with the 2020 election. He also said that um there were a lot of illegal immigrants who voted or who registered to vote. it was vote flipping. So, a lot of people say that this is um basically he's basically trying to promote his Safe America Act, which gives government more control over who is register to vote and to monitor the electoral process.
Okay. Um they're also saying that President Trump is going to use this in order to have more federal control over state elections, which will determine the midterms. This I think is all true. um this this is the way he behaves right if you can't win honestly you know just cheat and he thinks that 2020 he was cheated so it is his right um it is his duty in order to ensure cheating never happens again and you do that by cheating better than everyone else okay so Thomas Massie uh who is really now like the um folk hero of American politics he says this absurd every piece of vot All the data Trump mentions here um are available in Kentucky for a small fee. Yeah.
Right. So yeah, maybe China wanted to access
30:16um border files, but you just pay some money and you can have that. Also, I'm not convinced that China is at all interested in um interfering in US electoral politics. Well, that said, I do believe in 2020, China was rooting for Biden just because they thought that Trump um could not be negotiated with and Trump was a loose cannon and Trump um was doing a lot of things that discriminate against China, but I don't know what they did specifically in order to interfere in the elections. Also, it's also one of capacity. Yes, China does have the capacity to interfere in Taiwan elections.
Yes, China does have the capacity to interfere in Japanese elections, and we'll talk more about it later on, but I don't think China has the capacity interfere in US elections, especially at the national level. Maybe at maybe at the local level, but definitely not at the uh national level. Okay, Tim Iverson says the same thing. Okay. It cost you nothing to actually look up um how people are reg registered to vote.
Okay. Meo says the same thing. Um um he points out that the the um noncizen registrations the White House says 250,000 but better sources put it at only 28,000. That's still a lot. And remember like I think in 2020 uh Trump lost to Biden by only about 10,000 votes, right?
So if you could flip 10,000 votes strategically throughout the country, then that would have given uh Trump the U victory. All right. Now Trump as part of his announcement, he did release a lot of um
32:19classified documents. These classified documents aren't secret, by the way. They're just bureaucratic memos that tell you nothing whatsoever. What they tell you is the bureaucracy is um divided politically and they're always fighting against each other. But otherwise, are they revealing any secrets?
No, not really. Okay. So this is from the National Intelligence Council which is an assessment of how countries are are affecting the US political landscape their intentions their capacity to influence the uh US political landscape. As you can see China does not have the capacity to really interfere in um US elections. They don't have they don't have the capacity.
They don't have the interest. But Russia does. In fact, um, Iran probably has more interest in interfering in US elections than China. Okay, this again, this comes from one of the um um declassified documents. Now, you can also find documents where the bureaucrats say that um China does have interest and capacity to interfere, but but that's just how bureaucracy works.
you've got different political factions saying different things and it will take you forever to sort out all the documents. Um, and another interesting thing from the um, National Intelligence Council is they suspect that in 2020 Russia tried to shape the narrative to help Trump win the election, right? They saw Trump as more pliable, as more friendly to Russian interests than Biden. And so they tried to accuse Biden of corruption, right? It says here, orchestrate a high profile corruption scandal implicating former president uh former vice president Biden.
Okay, so here it's clear
34:21um election interference, but it goes both ways. There are some people trying to help Biden, but there also some people trying to help Trump as well. Trump doesn't really care. Trump's point is that there is election interference and so the federal government should have all the power necessary in order to prevent this from happening. So Trump is not interested in uh who's interfering or why they're interfering.
Trump is just trying to amass more power for himself. Okay. And this already happening, right? So after uh Trump made his um um press conference, Homeland Security Secretary Mullen um threatened state election officials with possible prison time if they don't comply with Trump administration methods to determine whether sponsors are on voter roles. Okay.
So expanding on President Trump's election speech a night earlier, Mullen said that the State Department, oh, sorry, the Department of Homeland Security, I preliminary determined there were more than 250,000 non-citizens on voting list in at least four states. California, New Jersey, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. And um three of these are heavily Democratic states, right? Pennsylvania, you can say, is also Democratic. Um, so clearly they're trying to influence the midterms and um, it's possible that the midterms will be very controversial and it's possible some midterms don't even happen.
So the idea that the Democrats the midterms and then impeach Trump, I don't think Trump will just let that happen. Okay. So um, that is what's happening uh, there. Um, another thing I will point out is, um, Trump has announced sending 3,000 technicians to Venezuela. So, basically, M Max Bloom fellow hit, um, hit the nail on the head.
In other words, a US military invasion of Venezuela. Yes, that is next step where the United States starts to colonize uh, Latin America in order to
36:24um, pursue its imperial interest. This is stupid because all that's going to happen is basically a dumpster of fire where the local population conducts guerilla warfare against uh the occupation. But the empire doesn't care. This is how empire and decline um behaves, right? So he cannibalize our allies forcing Europe and Japan to pay t to pay tariffs as well as to finance wars against imaginary enemies.
but also uh you send it you sent out your allies to occupy um Latin America in order to steal as much as possible, right? And that way there are more people who support your imperial presidency. So th this is what an emperor does, right? Trump wants to cross a rub and he wants to become king of America. The way you do that is by making sure that people are loyal to you can steal as much money as possible.
The best way to do that is by taking over Latin America and having your allies steal the resources. Okay, so that is what Trump has planned. Okay, so having finished that, let's go over to your uh questions. Okay. All right.
Uh Hosnian says, "What do you think Bangladesh China politics while quarter via Myamar?" Um so I I don't want to get into that right now because that is really a very complicated uh issue. Um Ron Fritz asks do you think the US will respond to the availability of inexpensive AI providers from AI that are now just as powerful as empublic and open eye but as a fraction of the cost? Also any comments on CDBing's opening remarks at the um global AI conference. Okay. So, Siding said that he hopes that AI is used to uh further the interest of humanity as opposed to degrading
38:25humanity, right? Um so the United States is building all these data centers not to promote enthropic and open AI. Enthropic and open AI don't really have viable business models. The point is to create a surveillance state. Um so if you're going to war, if if you're creating an imperial presidency, if you're dealing with civil unrest throughout the country, then you need a shin state and that's why these data centers are being built.
United States is building far more far more data centers than um uh China and Frick and Open AI. Um I don't know what the business model is. In fact, you have a guy Ed Zetron who's a journalist who's very good, but he's been making around saying that these are not viable business models. And you have a lot of institutions, for example, the Bank of International Settlements saying that this AI bubble will pop at some point. If this is happening, I guarantee you they're planning to pop the AI bubble.
not to destroy the AI industry but to destroy wealth to consolidate power and to bring in the US government right so they they want US government to take a share in entropic and open AI and basically they want to nationalize these data centers so the government um is responsible for their upkeep which is very expensive also for the protection because there's growing discontent there's growing fear that people will start to attack these data centers um there's this tremendous public backlash against uh these data centers. So the next step is to basically pop the bubble, bring in the government um and nationalize a lot of uh AI data centers. So that is the intention and again it's to move towards an AI surveillance state and anthropic and open AI will be part of this surveillance state. Um but the current business model will will not work out. Okay, these will become basically public utilities as opposed to
40:26uh private companies. Russell says, "Is Trump going to cancel the midterms?" Um, I don't think Trump's going to cancel the midterms, but I think that there'll be a lot of disruption during the midterms. uh ICE will be deployed uh throughout the midterms to ensure uh to suppress lower uh v voter turnout. That's very important. Um I I think it's I think it's it's very hard for Trump to cancel the midterms because they happen at a um state level and I I don't think he has actually the authority to cancel the midterms.
But he can disrupt the midterms in many different ways, right? sending ICE everywhere to suppress uh voter turnout uh to accuse um states of um of of basically cheating and casing creating as much havoc as possible. You can also imagine a lot of these midterm races will not be will will go to court um and in these court cases could drag on for months, possibly years, right? So, I think it's it'll be very hard to put together the next Congress. And quite honestly, this is like this is really strange, but the Democrats prefer it this way, right?
Because if the Democrats, let's imagine the Democrats were to sweep the midterms, they come into office, their votive base is impeach Trump, okay, sure, but also stop the war in Iran, go after Israel, right? So now they have to deal with their voter base and the Democrats don't want to do that. The Democrats would just rather, you know, sit back, collect all the donations, get all the favorable news coverage, um, and let Trump be the scapegoat. That's literally what they would prefer to happen. We know because of of between because of 20 in 2016 2020
42:27when the Democrats were out of power. They were just I mean like I mean donations donations were just raining on their heads. Uh they were making like a shitload of money during those four years when their liberal base was galvanized and they were willing to spend as much money as possible to get rid of Trump. So, it's weird, but the Democrats have more to gain from Trump in office than uh for them to remove Trump. Okay, it's really weird.
And also remember, a lot of these Democrats, especially people like um Hakeim Jeff and Chuck Schumer, um they are Zionists and they're beholding to Apac. So, um, they don't want to come in and impeach Trump and try to stop this war in Iran. If, um, the midterms are total dumps of fire, total clutter and they cannot convene the next Congress, and the Congress is no longer functioning, so Trump can do whatever he wants, and so Trump just launchs a ground incursion into Iran. The Democrats think this is the best optimal outcome for them because it allows them to achieve a lot of their political objectives. It makes Trump the scapegoat and it sets up 2028 for a democratic landslide.
And by 2028, you have to imagine a lot of um things that Trump was brought in for, for example, this war in Iran will have concluded by then. Okay, so that's how the Democrats are thinking right now. Um, so I wouldn't be surprised if the Democrats are very happy to not win the midterms. Uh, Fias asks, "How does Russia see the Middle East war?" Um, yeah, Russia sees the Middle East war as the end of American Empire. I I'll talk more about this later on.
Okay. Ron Fritz asks, "Any comments on the
44:28rapidly escalating AI war between the US and China?" Yeah, I think it's complete I think that this conflict between US and China. It's all just theater. The United States and China are not really in conflict. Both want to create a surveillance state and they benefit more from working together to create the surveillance state than they do from fighting each other. So think of like maybe during a cold war the KGB versus CIA.
Believe it or not, the KGB and the CIA were actually working together to further their own institutional interest, right? Because if you're the KGB, how do you justify your power and your budget? The fact that the CIA exists, your CIA, it's the same situation, right? So what do you do? Well, you can you you basically conspire together.
you work together to create artificial conflict in order to uh get more financing, more power from your own respective nation state. You become parasites on the nation state, right? So these AI industry in uh America and in China, they benefit more from working together to hype up the AI threat than they do from actually competing against each other. Okay, so I know it's weird, but the nation state model doesn't really hold up to scrutiny. US and China are not really in conflict with each other.
The people who are in conflict with each uh with each other often elites that are domestic, right? So rather than see the United States and China in conflict with with each other, it's better to see uh different elites in con with each other with uh in China and in uh United States. So in China, you have different global factions fighting for power. In America, you have the Democrats versus Republicans. You have the tech oligarchs versus Wall Street basically.
Okay. Okay. Um, I says, "Seems like Trump is upset at China at not pushing Iran to agree to concessions to MOU. Doesn't seem like it's anything to do with US elections."
46:30Um, I I disagree. I think Trump doesn't really care about Iran and the MOU because the MOU is just a smoke screen, right? Trump is intent on a ground in evasion because it allows him to um harvest more power and you know Trump did meet with President C in Beijing in midMay and we we don't know we will never know what they actually agreed on but I I would not be surprised if um the two agreed to work together to uh further their own domestic political power, right? So, I can see China trying to help um Donald Trump gain a third term and China providing evidence, secret evidence that China did interfere in the elections when China didn't do so. Right?
And this gives Trump a lot of credence, a lot of credibility as he um tries to federalize state elections. Right? So, again, I don't think China and United States are enemies. I don't think Trump is cares about China. Trump cares about the Democrats.
Trump hates the Democrats. Trump wants to be king and that is all everything he's doing. If you appreciate all that, everything he's doing um revolves around that one goal. How does he get a third term? Because if he doesn't get a third term, the Democrats come in, they are going to go after him and his family, right?
And there's a lot of crimes they've committed these past two years. I mean, it's kind of blatant how corrupt they become, but uh and but but that just tells you Trump has actually no intention of ever leaving office. Okay. All right. So, let's continue.
Um All right. So, I'm going to keep on reading. Okay.
48:33Victor asks, "Why is the US blocking Cuba?" Uh, well, the US is blocking Cuba because it's part of the Don Ro doctrine, right? So, the intention of Trump is to create the imperial presidency. And the entire idea of the imperial presidency is that America will control the entire North American continent as well as parts of um South America. This is something called they call it Tetonate. Um and so the countries that are part of the technique are include Canada, Greenland, Mexico, uh Colombia, Venezuela, Honduras, Nicaragua, Guatemala, Cuba.
Um and so Cuba is just the next domino to fall, right? And um right now the Americans are imposing a naval blockade and the then the goal is to create as much discontent as possible to make a ground to make a marine incursion pretty simple. Okay. Erin asks Erin asks what will China take over Taiwan? China will not engage in military conflict against Taiwan.
is suicide for the Communist Party to to to do so. Okay. Selfish Noran says Venezuela wants to normalize relationships with Israel. Uh yeah. Yeah.
Yeah. It makes sense, right, for Venezuela to normalize relations with Israel because Venezuela needs transational capital to come in develop its oil industry. So that makes sense. But basically, I mean, the best way to understand what's happening in Venezuela is that it's become a de facto colony uh of the United States. And so the next step is for Trump colonial administrators.
And therefore, that's why I referred to this Max Bloomfo tweet. And then what's going to happen is a uh domestic insurgency, a gula of warfare. And that's good for these colonial administrators because it gives them access to more power and to more
50:33financing. Right? So, this empire has decline where uh the people in charge, the elite, don't really care about how to further America's long-term national security interests. All they care about is stealing as much as much as possible for themselves in the short term, right? And creating as much conflict in the world does that, right?
Right. So you can imagine these colonial ministers go into Venezuela and um they promote domestic insurgencies in order to justify a power grab. This power grab allows them to steal the resource of Venezuela which then uh inflames more in insurgencies. Okay. But they don't care because their goal is to steal as much money as possible and then run away.
They're cover baggers. Okay. So this will be a dumpster fire. All right. Sam asks, "Is Vancing up to act as Brutus to to Trump Caesar?" Is Vance setting himself up to act as brutish to Trump Caesar?
Uh, no. Vance is not that smart and Trump is not that stupid. Uh, Vance will be discarded before well before 2028. Um, one asks, uh, what's the importance of art and creativity? Does America need a new mythology?
What was its old mythology? Yeah, that's a great question. America, um, thought of itself as two possibilities. The first possibility is a Christian utopia, right? The Puritans wanted to create a Christian utopia in America.
the and then the other possibility was a project of a freemason which was which was to create an enlightenment state um and um the enlightenment state idea has won out but I think that America is survived it needs to become Christian nationalist that I think is America's best hope and I think this this is what's going to
52:33happen in America I think America will become a Christian nation and they will focus on Christian nationalism all right uh so thanks for the questions but I I I need to Uh, move on. Oh, wait, wait. Ron Fritz asked a question. Do you think the DSA faction within the Democratic party will continue to grow in power following Mandennis success? Both Democrats and Republicans seem to fear this.
The DA the DSA faction. Yeah, this is really interesting idea, right? So, Republicans have a mega faction. The mega faction basically conducted a revolution uh led by Trump and now they control the Republican party. The Great Fear is a DSA party, the Democratic Socialist of America, represented by Mandani and also Hassan who I talked to a couple weeks ago.
Um, they are heavy proponents of the DSA. Now, the DSA is a sign off. It's complete Uh, the DSA, it's made basically meant to channel grassroots anger in a way that allows it to be co-opted by the elite at some point. Basically, uh, the Democratic Party is controlled by an incestuous elite that wants to stop power and they're very good at do at doing so, right? So, uh, whatever sort of like grassroots movement you see um, among the Democrats, it's fake.
It's a scol. Don't don't believe this crap. Um, um, that's what my intuition tells me. Uh the Democrats have been co-opted. There's absolutely no hope for them.
All right, so let's go to the next news item, which of course is the war in um Iran. Now, what's really important to appreciate is the Americans have gone into um this war with a new strategy. The previous strategy was decapitation, right? Let's take out the Alatollah. Let's take out their main leadership.
let's take out their main bases and then
54:35Iran will capitulate. Uh Iran will fall. That doesn't happen. So now they've moved on to phase two of the war. And phase two of the war something something to notice is the Americans are much more strategic about where to attack.
So before in the first phase of the war in the first month say in March the attacks were everywhere throughout the country especially in Tran. uh now it's concentrated heavily in the south right and the reason why is because the south is where they would want to launch their ground incursion right so uh Balakistan is where they would see as a possible fort operating base right here right also they wanted to slash the IRGC from the moves basically destroy Iran's capacity to export oil and that's why they attack the islands okay so moving Moving forward, okay, in this next phase of the war, and this war is a forever war, by the way. I mean, expect this war to last 10, 20 years. But in this next phase, the strategy is uh three-fold. First of all, um sending ground forces from Iraq and Balakiststan to force the IRGC onto the battlefield.
Okay, that's phase that's point one. Point two is disrupt the Iranian economy. And the way you do that is you target critical civilian infrastructure and uh you destroy Iran's capacity to export oil and this already what's happening. All right. So Middle East I says that a children's cancer h hospital was forced to evacuate after US strikes hit nearby.
Okay. Um I had to say this but over the next few months what's going to happen in Iran is going to be very similar to what happened in Gaza. remember um after October 7 when the Israelis went into Gaza, they were much more restrained than uh in the beginning and the reason why was they afraid of public pressure and there's a lot of public pressure built up against Israel
56:35in the first phase of the war. But then Israel u basically um scaled down its operations and laid low for a couple months. basically had a ceasefire uh with Hamas in um Gaza did not respect their ceasefire but that ceasefire um basically allowed the majority of the people in the world to turn away and to turn a blind eye basically that allowed Israel to basically start engaging in genocide against the people of Gaza and we're going to see a similar situation in Iran where in the first phase of the war uh there was just so much attention on the war and so that basically limited the capac capacity of America to fight the war to its full capacity. Basically destroying critical civilian infrastructure. Uh towards towards um the end of March there was talk that America would target power plants and as you remember Iran uh created human chains around these power plants.
Basically, Iranian civilians went to these power plants and became human chains so that if America bombed these power plants, these civilians would be killed in the process. You could do that in the first phase of a war because entire world was focused on the war. You can't do this in the second phase of the war because no one's really paying much attention to the war now. And if you do send civilians to protect these power plants, the Americans will make sure to kill everyone. Okay.
Um, so as you can see, right now the Americans are targeting critical civil infrastructure such as bridges. The reason why you do that is it's the best bang for your buck. It does you no good to target mountains. Does you no good to target military bases. You need to think about the economics of war, right?
If you're going to spend a million dollars on blowing something up, make sure that what you blow up cost more than a million dollars. And it's and and and and so you target critical civilian infrastructure. Um [clears throat]
58:35the uh Americans are now enforcing the blockade um against Iranian ships. Okay. Um so they're trying to strangle Iranian economy and in response the Iranians are attacking US military infrastructure in Kuwait. And a lot of people are like that's so silly. The Americans are attacking critical civil infrastructure in Iran.
Iran now needs to go after the energy fields of the GCC. Make the GCC feel pain. They don't want to do that. Okay? And that's actually strategic not to do that for a variety of reasons.
Okay? Uh I know militarily, yes, if they are attacking your critical infrastructure, you should go attack their critical infrastructure. The problem is that the world is going to feel a lot of hate and hurt. um because Iran has closed hummus. So Iran um already is pissing off a lot of the world and so Iran cannot afford to continue to aggravate the world and so it needs to create sympathy right so basically let the Americans come and destroy your critical civilian infrastructure and this will guard this will create a a lot of global sympathy second thing you don't want to do that is you want to create sympathy and unity among your people right The the Iranians are really pissed off at America.
One, because of what happened uh in the World Cup where the Iranians were just treated very badly by the Americans. Now, it's part of Iranian culture uh to believe that hospitality, it's a grand virtue, right? So, regardless if you hate this person, if this person comes to your into your house, you have to treat this guest with respect and courtesy. And that's and that's what virtue is. and the fact that the Iranian team goes to America to play the World Cup and they were not allowed to stay in America overnight, right?
They were they were forced to fly in
60:36early morning uh at dawn to the match and then after the match they had to fly out back to Tijuana, Mexico, which is where they had their camp. A lot of the sports staff for Iranian team were not even allowed into the country. So that pissed off a lot of Iranians and I I don't think we can truly appreciate how pissed off the people of Iran are. Also the people of Iran believe that the game the that that the um uh World Cup was raped against Iran. Um and it was a tremendous injustice and a lot there there a lot of Iranians want to avenge this injustice.
That's that's the um first point. Second point is there was a recent funeral for the Aatollah where millions and millions came out across Iran and they cried out for vengeance. Okay. And the third thing is of course what's happening today where the Americans are attacking critical civil infrastructure affecting the lives of Iranians. Uh the Americans are targeting power plants.
So Iranians will will no long have access to air conditioning in this intense summer heat. And so all you're doing is you're pissing off the Iranian people and you're making the Iranian people more willing to fight. So if I'm the IRGC, I let the Americans continue to do this because I want to galvanize this anger into um into action, right? Um and the third thing, the third reason why the RGC will probably be very restraint in it in its response is this war is not decided right now. The war is decided once America sends in ground forces.
Okay, the ground invasion is what will decide who wins and who loses this war. So you basically want to force Americans into a ground invasion because then the uh temple of the war uh the trajectory of the war um shifts in favor of the Iranians. Now the Iranians can can determine the tempo and trajectory of
62:37this war. Now the Iranians can be more proactive. Okay. So you basically play pause them and you make the Americans think you're weak and then they send in ground forces. The the intention right now is solvent up Iran up for ground incursion.
And if the Iranians are not striking back forcefully against the GCC, American military planners will believe it's because the Iranian offensive capacities have been fully degraded which will allow for a fullscale ground in invasion. Okay, that's the intention here. All right. Um, another very important development is how this war it is expanding outward to include the entire Middle East. So this is this is Al Jolani who has changed his name to Al Shara.
He of course is now president of um Syria and he recently recently met with Donald Trump um in Anara for the NATO summit and uh Aler committed to helping uh the Americans in Lebanon basically against Hezbollah and Trump promised to lift sanctions against um um Syria. Now, Syria has said very explicitly, we will not invade Lebanon. We will not fight Hezbollah. But already they're creating conditions where conflict between Hezbollah and um Syria. It's almost inevitable at this point, right?
Because it's because Iran smokes a lot of weapons and missiles um into Lebanon from from Syria. And if Syria is disrupting Hezbollah's supplies, then Hezbollah is forced to respond in a certain way. Okay. So, it is very likely that Syria will enter this war at some point. And the intention is to have Syria attack from the north, is from the south to outflank
64:37Hezbollah. Also, Lebanese government will also attack Hezbollah. Okay. So, basically, Hezbollah is in a lot of trouble. Um, you also have the Houthies.
So what's what's what's been happening is that the Iranians have been trying to create an airbridgeidge flying in supplies um into um Yemen and Saudi Arabia attack the airport and now basically the Houthies and Saudi are about to go to war. I mean they're basically at war. Okay, they've been at def facto war for the past few years anyway. This is important because the hoofies what they're going to do is close off the red sea the back L Mandac straight right uh so already hummus is closed then if they closed off the bag amount straight then basically the entire GCC is now no longer capable of um exporting oil and this is going to be a huge problem for the entire GCC will basically force Saudi Arabia uh to enter this war uh against the the Houthis. Um Iraq, okay, so Iraq is committed to disarming the Shia militias in Iraq.
And the reason why is that uh the Americans want to use Iraq as a for operating base for for operations against Iran in the future. So already we're seeing this war expand outwards. And so my prediction is that the next phase of this war maybe like a year from now this war will have will have to expand to the Caspian Sea the Caucuses. The reason why is that as the south of Iran is under uh American attack. Um then Russia needs to reinforce Tran from through the Caspian Sea.
And so um um Azeran and Armenia could be a source of
66:38conflict, right? Um and Azaran is a very close American ally. So they would think about how to use conflict in the caucuses in the Caspian Sea in order to disrupt the supply network to Tran. Um also if we go and look at central Asia there seems to be a great game happening between Russia and the United States and we can think that this could go kinetic at any point. What this is important is that if this goes kinetic if this region goes kinetic then China will not be able to reinforce Iran um through the belt and road initiative.
Right? So basically you're trying to cut off supplies to Iran. Um if there's conflict in Ajaran between Ajaran and Armenia and there's conflict throughout Central Asia then Iran will be cut off um from its two major allies China and Russia and um this I think will be the next phase. Okay. All right.
So having said that, let me look at some questions and see if there are any questions about this. Okay, Kashrol says, "Why would the West seek to destroy Iran when it make more sense to make economic deals of Iran integrated into the global economy and transnational system?" Yeah, you're absolutely right. Um, so that's why it's hard to understand things from a purely economic and materialist perspective because if if that were the case, then you didn't have to invade Iraq in 2003. You you could just make economic deals with them. They're perfectly happy to sell oil to you at a major discount, right?
Iran Iran is in the same situation. So the only way to appreciate this is that this war is esquetolog esqueologgical. Okay?
68:39Israel wants to achieve the greater Israel project. So therefore it needs to knock out Iran from the equation. Um and America wants to prevent Iran from form alliance with Russia and China. So unfortunately this is just US imperial policy. So um rather than try to settle disputes peacefully through economic cooperation, America is intent on enforcing its will militarily.
And right now the greatest threat to American power is a possible alliance between Iran, China, and Russia. The reason why you don't um trade with Iran is if if you trade with Iran, well, Iran can also trade with Russia and China. And this over time would allow all three to build a strong alliance but also uh uh become stronger over time. So yeah, you could trade with Iran now, but the great fear is that in 20 years time Iran will be too powerful to possibly stop and to invade. Okay?
So you have to do it now. So there's the imperial interest. There are also the esquetological interest. Um okay this is a great question. India has been a friend of Iran for years now recently with Israel too.
Where does India stand in a larger scheme of things with regard to this war? Okay this is a really interesting question question because um India sees Israel as its best ally in the future. Okay. So there's only four countries where Israel has a net favorability rating and one of them one one of these countries is actually India. I think 33% of uh Indians support Israel and maybe 31% oppose Israel.
Okay, that's pretty impressive because everywhere else it's pretty skewed um against Israel. So um I think what's
70:39happening is a growing alliance between Zionism and Hindutva. Uh, Hindudva is basically the Indian version of Zionism where India wants to control um, uh, most of South Asia including Pakistan, including Afghanistan. They believe that historically the these areas belong to them. Another way to understand this is okay, China got rich by exploiting its young population and making cheap products to sell to the um west. Now India wants to become the next China.
The problem is that India doesn't have the state apparatus that China does. China is a authoritarian nation that can force people from the countryside to the urban centers to work in factories. And then China can invest a lot of money in building critical infrastructure um a great logistic network to transport goods um from Chinese factories to American and European um supermarkets. So that's what China can do. India can't do that because India is democracy.
So what you do instead and this is really clever is you export the young people all around the world in order to create an Indian diaspora which you can manipulate in order to further your greater India project your Hinduta project. Okay. And what what have recognized is the best national ally to do that is with Z capital or transnational capital. Right. Right?
So think of Argentina and Australia where uh and Canada where transactional capital controls these places but and you bring in Indian labor, Indian energy in order to people these places. Okay. So India sees its best hope, its best
72:40ally in Israel, right? So India is always going to support Israel but obviously India does not want to go to war with anyone else. Right? So but but India and Israel is a growing alliance. Um, Vestna asks, "How may the war in the Middle East impact small countries such as Armenia and Georgia?" And the answer is I mean like I I I would explain this war is going to expand and expand until it engulfves most of the world, right?
So if you are in Georgia, if you are in Armenia, well, you'll be brought into this war at some point. Okay? This war is a confederation um that's going to spread spread to encompass everyone. Okay. Um, BDG BDG asks, "How can the US invade Venezuela and Cuba while losing in Iran?" Well, first of all, who says United States is losing in Iran?
Second of all, it's American Empire and they have different theaters, right? So, Venezuela and Cuba. Um, yeah. I mean, the American the American Empire can do a lot of stuff that's crazy and nonsensical and dangerous, but they can pull it off, right? So, it's possible because right now the United States is fighting war on multiple fronts.
It's fighting war in Ukraine. It's fighting a war in the Caribbean. It's fighting a war in Iran. It'll probably like apply another front which is the Asia-Pacific, North Korea will open up pretty soon as well. So, the empire can do a lot of things.
Okay, it shouldn't do these things, but it can. Victor asks, "The Iranian population is seeking vengeance. What do you think Iran could do to against the US to revenge company's death?" The best thing is to wait for the ground invasion. You know, the Americans are are going to come at some point. Just wait for them.
Um, prepare your forces, rally your people, and wait for the Americans send in their ground forces. That's what I would do. Be patient. Um, Salad Jones says, "Given that America has be has
74:42begun to attack infrastructure, at what point do you think Iran will take the gloves off and destroy the dissolination plants and war facilities in the GCC as they threatened to?" Um, that's a really good question. And so my first point is Iran does not see the GCC as completely unified. Okay? Um, it particularly hates the UAE, uh, Dubai, and it really hates, uh, Bahan and Kuwait, these three places. So, so expect the Iranians to target these three places, um, um, strategically.
uh also expect that the Iranians will be very restraint in their respond because they know like if you target at the this salination plant in one of these regions it's basically like using a nuclear weapon right you you're basically causing the people to suffer tremendously right so I think the Iranians need to be strategic in how they calibrate their response I think the idea of targeting the dissalination plants that's a nuclear option you're better off you're better off targeting oil fields, right? Like basically applying economic pain because if you if you target the dissellation plans, you're going to piss off the entire GCC, right? So it's not in the even in best interest to basically piss off the entire GCC. You basically want to divide and conquer the GCC. So basically focus your energies on Kuwait, UAE, and Ban.
uh because these three places are the most adamant about over about regime change in Iran and then and then hold back against Qatar and Saudi Arabia. It's not in your it's not in your best interest to piss everyone off. Okay. All right. Um anymore?
76:42Uh okay. So guys, I'm really tired. Uh I I I want to thank everyone for these great questions, but let me um we'll spend five more minutes. Okay. So, I was recently in Japan.
I want to thank the Nokiman Show for sponsoring my trip to Japan. I've never been to Japan in my life. It's my first time, believe it or not, but I'm almost 50 and I've never been to Japan. And it was a wonderful trip. I spent four days in Tokyo and uh I did a fabulous podcast with the No Man Show.
Um it's a Japanese language podcast and they're very popular in Japan. They have like 2.5 million uh subscribers and a lot of their videos get millions of views. It it's a very fun conversation and I'm looking forward to it when it comes out. In Japan, I also did a meetup for the first time and it's on YouTube. But I want to thank everyone on my paid subscribers who showed up for the um meetup and we spent three hours together um in conversation and it was just a lot of fun.
So I want to thank this man uh Kito Uchi who organized the event at Lakeland University and I'm hoping to do more meetups in the future. Okay. So I'll be in LA um and New York in August. I'm hoping to do some meetups there as as well. So um yeah, so thanks so much guys.
Um I hope I hope that today was interesting for you and then uh let me um let me look at if there are any more uh questions and then we will um end the stream. Okay, so three more questions. Okay, guys. All right. So, Chrisman asks, "How are oil prices not moving despite horos being closed?
US stock piles are almost depleted. How much further can the US manipulate prices?" This is a really good point.
78:43So, yes, uh clearly the United States is manipulating prices. Clearly, there's some cooperation going on between China and United States because the main reason why prices have not skyrocketed is China has reduced demand. Um but as you point out, this is not really sustainable in the long term. eventually sky uh oil prices will skyrocket. Uh so expect that that to happen soon.
Earl Gray asked regarding this um central Asia map what would be an in something kinetic as you said uh would it be protest kind of start? Yeah. So um the um so expect a lot of terrorist attacks in these regions against um critical civil infrastructure. Okay. So think of Australia where a drone attack the Gilon refinery and basically the goal is to basically kick the hornets's nest right to create as much conflict as possible which could possibly lead to conflict.
Uh but central Asia that map it's about two years away so it's not a major concern at this point but it will happen at some point as this war escalates. So the last question is from Enzy. Do you think it's a better strategy for Iran to attempt to hit Israel hard rather than getting into a ground war with the United States? If the great is project the goal would hit them where it hurts. Yeah.
Okay. I know this is like really strange. Okay. Because we know the root of the problem is Israel. Okay.
So, yeah, you in theory, yes, you want to hit Israel the hardest and this would be the most emotionally satisfying. But from a military perspective, it doesn't work. Okay? All right. Here's some reasons why.
First of all, Israel is a lot more unified, a lot more resilient than the GCC. So let's just
80:46imagine you barrage, you do a missile barrage on Israel every day for the next two, three year, three, three months. Well, all you would do is make them really pissed off at you and you would make Nahu really popular and uh Israel will go all in against you and you can't hit them too hard because remember Israel has nuclear weapons, right? So um so basically you don't want to do anything about against Israel because if you do nothing against Israel then the nation will fracture. So uh there are elections coming up in Israel uh in the fall and Netanyahu will probably lose um and this will create a lot of civil disruption a lot of political strife in Israel and that's that's the best way to deal with Israel. Israel is a nation that will fight to the death.
Israel is a nation that will galvanize and unify together really quickly if it feels threatened. So there's no point in dealing with Israel. There's absolutely no point. You're you're better off dealing with the GCC. It's better bang for your buck, right?
Um so I I know it's weird, but there's really no point in attacking Israel. you do it now and then for symbolic uh reasons um and to show that you can and to rally public support from but from a military perspective you don't really gain that much from attacking issue plus it's too far away you're just better off attacking the UAE Kuwait and Ban right um and ultimately this war will not be decided in the air it would it will be decided on the ground that's why you wait for the American ground invasion you want to save your resources is you want to anger your population. You want to lure the Americans into Iran and that's how you beat them. You want to create another Vietnam, basically. Okay.
All right. So, um guys, thank you so much. This was a lot of fun. Um so, we will do this again next month, but I
82:46will be back in North America uh next month. So, I will change the time to accommodate more people. And also um I expect that over the next few months there will be some major breaking news um especially with regard to this war in Iran especially regard to President C's visit to United States schedule for September um um the Israeli elections are very important um the midterms are very important so what what I will do is whenever there's breaking news I will organize a um a live stream but it will not be on substack it will be on zoom and be and the reason why is it will allow us to interact more directly okay so please watch out for these emergency live streams in response to breaking news once again thank you so much for your support over these past few months it's because that you are paid subscribers that I am now able to finance my trips um to visit places all around the world so I can better better uh develop my geopolical analysis and um you know this trip to Japan was wonderful. It made me think much more deeply about geopolitics and I'm hoping to visit more places in the future uh to bring you better um and more insightful analysis. My final point is I understand that right now there there's a transition happening.
A lot of you are used to uh me in the classroom using the blackboard and lecturing to directly and now I I left the school and I'm developing new platforms, new modes of communication and I know there's been a lot of hiccups. Um I know the video I posted uh about Japan uh yesterday the audio quality was terrible. I apologize for that. Uh but it was done um very rapidly and we didn't have time to set properly. Okay.
So I apologize for that.
84:46I also appreciate that um [clears throat] um these Zoom discussions may not be as a aesthetically appealing as my classroom lectures. Um I promise you this is transition phase. I'm taking your feedback into consideration. I am making a lot of changes as we go along. I promise you the experience will be a lot better for you as we move along.
But I I also ask for your patience in this process. Okay. So, thanks so much guys. I look forward to our next discussion. Okay.
Bye-bye. And oh, and by the way, thanks so much to Cassie for being a great moderator. Okay. she was able to send questions real time and I was able to respond to them in real time. And so, thanks so much, Cassie, for being a great moderator.
And um I will see everyone uh next month.