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0:03Good morning. So this is um our very first emergency live stream discussion. So there are two topics on the agenda. Uh the first topic of course is the World Cup which just concluded um a couple hours ago with Spain winning one to zero. Uh the second topic of course is the um Iran war which everyone is expecting to escalate.
Um so the tempo the ferocity uh of the war it is much faster it's much um more more greater than uh in March. What is happening right now that is really interesting is the Americans are reporting um public publicizing uh the deaths of soldiers the death American casualties in the Middle East. This is something that they refrain from doing in March. They said that only 13 um died throughout those six weeks and of course um that was a very suspicious number. And uh now um we've we've only been a few days into this war, but they are already reporting three deaths as well as um possibly um dozens of casualties uh because due to Iranian strikes on American bases throughout the Middle East, primarily Jordan.
Okay. So these are the two topics that we will uh discuss. This is the first of our um um emergency live streams. So I hope that this is as interactive as possible. So I'll be monitoring chat throughout.
Um so I prepared a brief presentation on the World Cup. Um, as I mentioned
2:03um, in my live stream a couple days ago, I thought that there's a lot of evidence that that suggests that Argentina would win it. I felt as though it was being rigged in favor of Argentina, but at the same time, I felt that Spain was the much stronger team. And I also think that um um my intuition told me that Spain would win and it turns out that Spain Spain did win. And so this is really interesting. So there are different possibilities for this.
The first possibility of course is that uh I'm just paranoid. Everyone's just paranoid and this at all is not rigged and um the world is not as deterministic as we once believed. Okay. So the first explanation is that we're all I'm just completely wrong and my entire uh worldview um framework for understanding the world it's just completely off base and that is a very strong possibility. Okay, so that's theory number one.
Uh theory number two is they rigged up to a point which is they wanted uh four teams in the semi-finals because these four teams would draw the most revenue for FIFA. They of course are Spain, France, England, and Argentina. And um that's what they got, what they got. And in the finals, what actually happened? They didn't really care.
Um and the third possibility is that um they did rig it. But there's a problem with all this, which is that Archie became too arrogant. they suffer from hubris and so they just um underperform, right? So Argentina and and this is an amazing statistic, but Argentina is the first team in the World Cup not to have a shot on goal in the first 90 minutes. In fact, I think they got the first shot on
4:03goal at the 120 minute mark. So that's incredible to think about. Um, basically Spain just outplayed Argentina throughout and Spain because they had to face Portugal and France to get to the finals, they were wellprepared. Um, they were extremely enthusiastic and they determined to win. Whereas Argentina, because they were basically given a very easy path to the semi-finals, um, the first tough team that they faced was England in the semi-finals.
they basically became um lazy and complacent and um didn't really perform to the best of the ability. Okay, so those are three possibilities. I'm not saying which possibility is correct. I'm just saying that these are all three different possibilities that that we should consider. So again, what I do is I try to develop predictive models, predictive modeling for the world.
So um it's always important to sort of step back and ask ourselves what is our our framework what our assumptions and what are our predictions and trying to analyze in real time how our predictions are turn are turning out. Uh to be to be fair to myself I never said that Argentina would win. I I would I what I did say in the previous uh live stream was that if Arn did win and if it was clear that the officials were rigging the game in favor of Argentina and if Messi were to score the winning goal, then I would predict that Messi would become president of Argentina in five to 10 years time and that Argentina would become a major hub of transnational capital. Okay. So, uh that that's what I said during uh my live stream.
Just just to be completely clear because some of you are saying that I predict that Archino would win. I did
6:03not predict Argentina would win. I said that logically I think that Argentino would win, but intuitively I believe that Spain would win. Um okay. Um so let me do a quick presentation and then I will open the floor to uh um um uh questions and discussions. Okay.
Um so let me let me share my screen really quickly. Okay. So um this is my presentation on the uh World Cup. First of all um I want to thank Alfred who sent me anong email
pointing out the um problems with my analysis and he's absolutely right in that I was making a lot of factual mistakes in my analysis. The first thing that's really important is to appreciate that there are quite a few high-profile um uh world um football stars who do represent Israeli companies. For example, Christian Christian Ronaldo does represent uh an Israeli company. Um, also second thing that we need to keep in mind is that when Messi went to Israel, he did so as part of FC Barcelona's 2013,
meaning that he visited um both uh Israel as well as Palestine. So that's something that's really important for us to remember. The last comment is that um a lot of people in the comments say that the FIFA World Cup is rigged in favor of certain teams and um there's very little evidence that is the case. You can make
8:03arguments back and forth um because there's a lot of information that supports both sides. Okay. Um, so this is a very um good email and I want to thank Alfred for taking the time to write this. I also um um you know this email also made me think a lot about my methodology and I I I can be very extreme at times. Sometimes I prefer the sound bite.
Sometimes I want to make this bold statement that goes viral. And um this email reminds me that uh right now I'm pretty influential. A lot of people pay attention to what I'm doing. I need to be more nuanced, more balanced, more scholarly in my approach. So again, I want to thank Alfred for this email and I will try my very best to be more nuanced, more subtle, more balanced in my approach.
Uh because ultimately I see myself more as an educator rather than as a social media influencer. I'm here to help people develop their own analytical models. I'm help I'm here to help people develop their own critical thinking skills. And that's what I want to do for the next 50 years. I see myself as a teacher of the world.
I'm I feel extremely privileged to be in this position. But I also appreciate that with this position with this privilege comes a lot of responsibilities. And so I apologize if if I was um misleading people in the past. So thank you again, Alfred, for this email. Um that said, I want to go over some thing things I I found interesting about the leadup to the finals.
So the first thing I'll point out is like if you if you look at Poly Market, um Poly Market had Spain at winning about 59% to 40 uh Argentine at 41%. That's a pretty um uh I mean that that's a very strong bias towards Spain and I think it's I think it's an announcement that Spain was is just a
10:03far superior team to Argentina on a variety of metrics. In fact, you have Ronaldo, the football legend uh who who basically said that um Spain will beat Argentina easily because um Spain will have ball control and he's absolutely right. He I mean he um he he did say that Spain will have the ball the entire time. They have excellent uh ball control. They work well together as a team.
So he's absolutely right and this exactly what happened during the World Cup and that's why Spain won one to zero at the end of the day. That said, um a lot of people were pointing out some some problems in the leadup to the World Cup and I found these things funny. Okay. Um so we know the result. We know that Argentine didn't didn't um uh win, but um there are some funny things um that was happening in the leadup to the World Cup.
The first thing is the referee who been in charge of the World Cup final. He hit he did have an altercation with the law six years ago, he was found in a brothel with cocaine guns and €20,000. And there's actually a news report um from Slovenia about this. This is on Yahoo Sports uh but it was translated from a news outlet in Slovenia. But uh this has happened in the middle of the co pandemic and police conducted a raid uh against prostitution and they found uh this referee um in the cabin and he ran away.
uh he tried to flee on a boat and they arrested him, but after a few hours of interrogating him, they found he had no direct connection to criminal organization. Okay, so this is a really funny thing that the um internet digged up about this referee. Um as you can imagine, there was a lot of superstition, a lot of divination in the leadup to the World Cup. Uh this is um
12:04an Archina uh popular show and there they brought in a fortune teller to to predict that Archina would win the World Cup. Jav Mle, the president of Artina did not actually go to the game because he believed that uh him going to the game would jinx the team and so he sat at home and did all the proper rituals to ensure that Archino would win the game. Um, you have two major celebrities, Conor McGregor as well as uh Drake u betting in favor of Argentina. Drake himself bet $1.5 million Archina to win the World Cup final. This is nothing to him, right?
This is like nothing to this guy. Um, but uh it shows that they are very supportive of Argentina. Um you have Benjamin Nanyahu meeting with Ana's ambassador to Israel uh a man named Rabbi Shimon was and uh Nahu expressed um the greatest support for Argentina and the reason why is well first of all Argentina and Israel have become very close these past two years. Um and the president of Jav M the president of Argina uh Javier Malay is actually part of the uh Chabbad Habad Hassid movement. Um in fact what's really interesting is that uh Helen Malay's first visit first foreign visit as head of state was to the grave of Rebe Rebeersonen in Queens, New York.
Um that grave by the way and this is really interesting is the most visited Jewish holy site outside of Israel. So there's a very strong connection between Ishriel and Javier Mle.
14:04Um, another interesting thing is that after Archina defeated England in the semi-finals 2 to1, they unfurled a banner saying basically uh the Malinas uh the Malvinas is Archina's name for the Folklands uh belongs to Argentina. And this is clearly a violation of uh FIFA's ban on political statements uh during sporting matches. And
um
yes,
the White House the White House um uh the White House came over a statement saying, "Well, Argentina has a right to free speech." Um that is true, but FIFA rules are pretty clear about this. you are not allowed to uh discuss politics in um in sporting matches. So this is clear clearly a violation. Um and I think um this Faulland's issue will become a major issue in our channel now that the World Cup is um uh is is over. Um some of you if you're here, could you please unmute?
Could you could you please mute yourselves? Um while I'm talking um it's important that you mute yourself. Um after I finish discussing I I'll I'll I'll leave the room. I'll I'll I'll open uh the floor to discussion. So if you have I if you want some if you want to have a question u please raise your hand.
Okay. Uh and I will um unmute you. Okay. So again, Jav Mele um says himself the Malbanas were are and will always be Argentine. Um so this shows us that um in the next within the next year the Folklands become a major geopol issue.
Um, and this is interesting because um, right now the UK controls the
16:06Folklands, but the UK is really far away and there's something called the Donor Doctrine, which is the Americans um, claim sovereignty over the entire Western Hemisphere. So I would not be surprised if Argentina in order to stir up national sentiment they would they were to make a claim for the Faullands and Americans would support uh this claim and there's really nothing that England could do about this right um right now um Trump is trying to dislodge England from northern hemisphere that bas that basically means two places uh no actually three places it means the Faullands it means the Caribbean and it means uh Canada right so basically Basically um um Trump is just trying to claim imperial control over the entire Western Hemisphere and Argentina will be his proxy in order to do this. That is my guess. Um right now though there's a major problem for Israel in Argentina which is um no one actually likes them in Argentina. So, as you can see from this poll, um right now in Argentina, um you have a vast majority of people who don't like Israel.
55% of people in Argentina have a unfavorable u view towards Israel. You have 21% who have a favorable view. And this is consistent throughout the world. There only four countries in the world where actually uh Israel has a net favor favorable uh rating and those are uh India. India is the largest country uh and India it's 28% who oppose Israel 32% who support Israel.
Uh the other three countries are and and this is like really funny but like in they're in Africa there are Kenya, Nigeria and Ghana. Okay, these
18:06are the only four countries in the world where Israel has a net favorability rating among the population. The elite are different issue, but among the population um um Israel is extremely unpopular. So, how do you fix this issue? Well, I think that if you're Argentina, the easiest way to fix this issue is twofold, right? There are two things you can do.
first is you stir up a conflict with England or the Faullands. Then Israel comes in and supports your claim towards the Faullands. I guarantee you if Israel were to do this, then the popular opinion in Arino would shift radically towards Israel. The Folklands is a huge nationalistic issue in Argentina. We know because why else would the uh Argentina team unfurl the banner after the semi-finals against England.
So um you know this is a war that happened in 1982. It took 10 weeks and um AR and like Argent doesn't fight that many wars. So um I think there's a lot of anger um a lot of resentment towards England. So if Israel and the United States were to help Arino reclaim the folklands um then um the Archin would be very variable would be very very happy. Also like I don't think there's anything in the Folklands worth preserving, right?
I mean like I don't I don't even know why England fought this war for the Folklands. If England gives up the Faullands, it doesn't really matter that much considering all the problems that um England is facing right now um back at home. I mean there there's about a civil war that will emerge possibly in um um in England. So that's the first thing that can happen that would change the public opinion of Argentine. Second thing that that that that could happen
20:07is and I I and I think this will happen is that Messi becomes president, right? because Messi is like gone in Argentina and if Messi were to become present, he he' be he'd be the perfect puppet. Um the Argentina would just go along with whatever Messi wants and maybe Jav Mele or some other people would be behind the scenes pulling the pulling the strings. Okay, so I think the these are my two predictions for Argentina um given the situation in in that country. The first is like folklands will become a major issue in the next year and I think that Argentina will be able to reclaim Argentina with issue of the United States supporting them.
The second prediction is that Nessie will become president of the United States in the next 10 years. Okay. So that is it from my end on Argentina. So are there any comments or questions um uh about this presentation before I move on to Iran? Iran will actually uh be the bulk of our discussion, I assume.
But um um does anyone Okay, Kitty here has has has a question. So Kitty, just just to warn you, uh this will be on YouTube, so you're not comfortable having your face in public. Just don't show the screen. Okay, I I I can hear you fine. So So Kitty, um c can you please um uh ask your question?
Thank you so much, professor. I was wondering um now that you're making these predictions and people you have a decent following, people are paying attention um have you thought about the impact of making predictions? Do you think making predictions is going to change the outcomes nowadays um at some point?
Yeah. Okay. So, that's a great question and you're actually right in that um in theory me making these predictions should influence the outcome. Um but um
22:07my intuition tells me that's not the case. Okay. So, I I want to use an analogy. So before I used used to play a lot of Texas home and poker and um in Texas home poker right most people are observers usually um if there's 10 people on a table there's only two people in a hand and sometimes the hands get really really intense and um it could go on for half an hour because you it's the river card and a major met a major bet has been made and one of the players is forced to think very deeply whether to call or to fold. And um that person when making making the decision will never take in account what the other people think.
Usually the other people on the table um they are more objective observers, right? So they make better they they can possibly make better decisions than people in the hand. um they have they have access to um they they're neutral so they can observe how both are playing the game but never in my life have I been in an instance where the actions the talking of spectators influenced the decision-m of the people in the hand um in in in fact um I think people in the hand they tend they tend to like block things out Um so so I I would say yeah in theory um if I'm making if I'm making these predictions then maybe the players in the game will take these predictions into account. Um but in my observation of people when they do things they don't really care what the observers think and and and and want. They just focus on the game itself.
So, um, does does it make sense, Kitty? Do do you want to respond to that
24:08or do do you want to ask a follow-up question?
I understand your analogy. Um, I I was thinking that if the world's population is more and more aware of what is happening, maybe at some point it will have an an impact on the decision makers and they might want to play their game differently. But that is something we will see going forward. I do have a follow-up question but it is not this related to this um first question. The followup question is more about do you think that the transnational cap capital you mentioned flowing from the old eastern uh sorry western Europe block to the North American block it seems these days do you think that there's going to be contention between Europe and North America because United States is more powerful now and they're kind of working with Israel in a way but it's probably not easy for the European block to be spectators.
What are your thoughts on that?
Yeah, that's a great question. Um, so I think that people prioritize the nation state. People think that the nation state is a constituent uh player in this world game that we have. And I I don't know how that true that how true that is. I think transational capital is beyond uh the nation state.
It controls the nation state. It basically warps geopolitics um to its advantage. And quite honestly, I think that Western Europe, it's a vassal state to the United States. This has been true um after World War II. It's true especially now in that uh the United States is forcing Ukraine to fight this war in Ukraine which does not all benefit uh Europe.
So I agree with you that a lot of trans it's flowing from Europe outwards because um quite honestly Europe is hopeless. Um but this is not going to create uh tension
26:09between Europe and the United States because Europe is essentially a colony of the United States. I I know there's been a lot of anger over Trump's tariffs against Europe. I know there's been a lot of anger about Greenland and poss about Canada in the future and possibly even even over the Folklands or as the year progresses. But um you have to look at exactly what the Europeans have done in response. Okay, you have a lot of rhetoric.
You have a lot of a lot of um theater, but like what what the Europeans done? Well, they've done exactly what the Americans asked them to do, which is basically um um um up this war in Ukraine, increase NATO defense spending, and prepare the population for conscription. So, I don't see at any point how Europe diverges from the United States. If Europe and the United States were really in conflict, you would imagine United States were, you can imagine that Europe their best strategy would become closer with Russia and China, right? To basically come to a replacement with both countries because um Europe how Germany became rich was they basically had access to cheap Russian energy and then they converted the that into really expensive manufactured goods like BMWs and Mercedes and sold to China.
And now what's Europe doing? Europe has a trade war with China and Europe has a real war with Russia. So I I don't see how the United States and Europe are out of conflict with with each other. Okay. Um Archer, did you have a question?
And guys, um I know there are a lot of questions, but could we just please please stay on topic? I I know I know a lot of you are interested in the Iran war, but we'll we'll get to that in the next section. Okay. Uh, Archer, uh, could you unmute yourself and and ask your question, please, or make your call?
Yeah. Yeah. I, um, first of all, thanks for taking my question. Um, I remember
28:10last time you were talking about, um, like the the possibility or like the concept or theory of Argentina kind of becoming a resource colony um, for like um, I think like Israel or Israel or America. I was just curious as to how that works. Like if there's no military operation, like does a resource does a resource colony work in terms of like trade deals or is there some sort of like IMF preferential treatment or like how does that how does that play out?
Yeah, that's a great question. Okay. So, my my theory about this is um you're absolutely right in that okay well in order for Argentina to become a resource colony, it needs to build a manufacturing capacity to to be so uh right now you have um a population that is pretty that's poor but pretty complacent. They're pretty happy with the way things are. They don't want to exploit the environment.
They don't want to go uh build factories. They're pretty happy with the way things are. And those who are unhappy, they just move out. It's a Canada, right? So the only solution is problem is population replacement for immigration.
Okay, that's a strategy. Um so right now you have I think that you have um lots of well I I do know you have lots of IDF soldiers going to Argentina every year on a tourist visa to visit. uh every year um there um a billionaire I I I forget his name um but he has a ranch in uh Argentina. He brings he brings about 10,000 IDF soldiers for a summer retreat every year um in for Argentina. You have relay signing trade deals with um with Israel.
But the only way that uh Argentina can reach its full potential as a resource colony is if you bring in lots of immigrants. And who are the most ideal immigrants to bring in Indians. Okay. So imagine a situation
30:11where uh Israel provides the muscle the IDF basically and you have um Indians coming in as energy as labor. Um and look right now India and Israel are like best friends. uh Maldi and Nanyahu become really close. The logic of this is really simple. If you're India and you you'll become the next China, you cannot use China's playbook, right?
You cannot um have American companies come in and build up your manufacturing capacity like they did in China 1980s and 1990s because first of all the Americans already did this and it didn't work out well for America. uh but also ch India is a democracy. So it does not have the state capacity of China where China can just can just politically will um will this into being. It can basically create these political policies that shift the people from the countryside to the factories. Um China can all China also has a really good logistics network.
That that really is the key to China's manufacturing success, its logistics network, right? is able to move people from the countryside to the cities. It's able to um move supplies, move raw resources from all around the world to China and then export manufactured goods around the world. So India cannot be next China. Right?
At the same time, India has a major advantage over China in that China is aging whereas India has a pretty young vibrant population. So what you do uh is you basically move your population overseas, right? And this already this already happening. You got millions of Indians flowing into Australia into Canada. Um and every time like India signs a trade deal, it requires that nation to open up its borders to Indians.
Okay. So recently Japan has signed a trade deal with India. I think part of this trade deal
32:11is that Japan also has to welcome Indians into uh Japan. Right? So this is how India plans to get rich by exporting its young labor overseas. And Argentina makes a lot of sense because Argentina is almost like virgin territory. You again you've got a pretty complacent population that don't really want to work that don't want to exploit the environment.
um where and so if you just marry Indian energy with Zionist capital this will be an unbeatable unbeatable combination okay and that's the idea that's a plan to force massive immigration to Argentina to create this resource colony does that make sense uh Archer do you want to ask a follow-up question or make a comment that makes that makes perfect sense to me I I never really thought about it that way before uh I never really considered what the what the trade deals would look like but um that's that's a really interesting take and I I appreciate the answer. Thank you.
Thanks so much Archer. That was a great question. Okay. Uh HH could you unmute yourself please? HH.
Yeah. [clears throat] Yeah. Hey John. Uh I'm from Australia and I love your videos. Thanks very much for what you do.
Uh so my question is like when it comes to Argentina um like why Argentina of all countries? like what is the history of Tina and like how did um this like this like goofy hair clown uh Malay how did he like become president as a goofy clown um yeah I don't really know much can you please explain
yeah okay yeah great question okay so um if I'm venture capital I'm basically a VC right I'm I'm venture capitalist and I'm always looking for the best bang for my buck I'm looking for the best investment opportunity and there criteria I need to meet to figure out if it's a good investment or not. Okay, first of all, I need to look at its uh potential, its growth potential. Um can it scale? How how wealthy it can become. So I don't invest in United States because um the United States is
34:13saturated with wealth. It's actually reached its potential a long time ago. I don't invest in China either because the population is in is uh aging. The economy is in a decline. [snorts] its geopolitical prospects are not that bright, right?
Because China is an export economy and if there's a war raging around the world, well, that economy collapses. Okay, so I don't look at where everyone's looking at. I look at potential growth possibilities. All right, so that's the first point that that criteria number one is potential growth possibility. Right?
So where are certain places in the world where there's tremendous growth possibility? Well, Argentina is one place, right? because low population, lots of resources, really untapped environment. Okay, that's number one. Number two would be a place like Australia where um yeah I yeah we Australia um has a pretty advanced u industrial base but it hasn't reached its full potential yet.
Okay, so Australia is another possibility. Ukraine is another possibility but there's a war in Ukraine, right? Um Canada is another possibility but Canada's controlled by the United States. So if I just look at all these possibilities, I'm stuck with Argentina as the place with the best growth potential that is yet untapped. Okay, that's criteria number one.
Criteria number two is I'm looking at security, right? So if I put my money in a place, I want it to be safe and um so I don't put it in Ukraine because the Russians can come and and steal all my investment. Okay? And that's what's h happening to um Black Rockck right now, right? Black Rock basically gave Ukraine a lot of loans and and Ukraine gave them um resource resources as collateral.
But if Russia wins this war, that all goes to nothing. Okay, so that's second criteria, security. Argentina is good because AR Argentina is surrounded by um two oceans. It has no enemies. Um it it has a rivalry in soccer with Brazil, but
36:14like they're not they're not actually gonna fight a war because both are very large countries and they don't really don't and they're re resource rich. Okay. So they they don't really need to fight a war over resources and there are no hostile powers in the western hemisphere. Uh America controls the western hemisphere but America's far away, right? Uh and for America to extend downwards to Argentina, that's a very long way.
uh America, the United States is focused on taking control over the entire North American continent and that's actually enough enough for for the United States. It doesn't need to go further, right? It plans to go down to Venezuela, but it doesn't want to deal with Brazil and Argentina, right? So, in terms of security, yes. Okay.
[snorts] Um that's number two. And number three is uh my potential to co-op the political system. That's very important to me because if I'm an investor, I need to rig the game to benefit me, right? I'm going to go and deal with democracy. I'm not going to go and deal with um these um um crazy monarchs, right?
Argentina, it's it's a democracy, but it's a pretty corrupt democracy. So, I'm pretty sure I can influence political system. It's Argentina is basically an corrupt oligarchy, right? So I know that I can use my capital to co-op the oligarchy and bend them to my wishes. Okay.
So if you think about it, AR only archina will fit all three categories. One is growth potential, right? Untapped resources. That's uh number two is security. Number three is [snorts] um you can co-op the political system.
All right. So um you you do you do these three criteria for any other place and you're like well it doesn't really fit, right? So let's go to Australia where you are. Well, okay, sure. Untapped market, lots of resources, fine.
Um that that's fine. Security, yeah, it's surrounded by uh the seas, but um at the
38:16same time, uh China, Japan are close by. Uh but the but that's fine. The third issue though is problematic in that Australia's democracy and do I really want to deal with the native population. Um they they could be um a a headache. Australians are notorious for being hard to deal with and I think that's a good thing.
Okay. Um but um the entre population I think would be much more complacent because ultimately if I'm an investor I want to um promote mass immigration in order to re fully realize the industrial potential of this place right so um you you can say look there are three major uh investment opportunities Canada Australia and Argentina um I think Argentina makes the most sense from the viewpoint of transial capital um um Archina is basically the most ripe for colonization, for conquest. Um, Australia, Canada, they're still part of the uh, Angosphere. Um, they're all they're they're bas basically resource colonies of the city of London. So, you have to deal with the city of London.
Uh, whereas Argentina, it's again, it's virgin territory. So, that that's why they're looking at Argentina. Does that make sense um to to you? HH or do you want to ask follow-up question?
Yeah. Sorry, I'm almost sick. Uh yeah. Yeah. I mean, that's a really good explanation, man.
Um yeah, I mean, we have the lowest uh uh positive perception of Israel on on Earth. So, yeah. I mean, we're we're Aussies, you know, we're America's but again, like we're we're pretty um self-standing, I guess. Um yeah. So, like who is who is Mille?
Who is Javier Mille? And is he like a was his career like engineered by Transnational Capital from the beginning or the transational capital just sort of like attached them to him because they saw a ripe uh uh puppet or product?
40:17Yeah. So I don't know enough about Javier Malay to uh comment but uh there is a trend of how these um individuals who seem to have no political background they emerge out of out of nowhere. So I think having LA he was an economist and it was a TV pundit that was known for sort of sort of like communist behavior and sort of outrageous comments and you know he's a very fierce libertarian and then somehow he suddenly um became head of Argentina and but I think a lot of his appeal was the fact that he promised to be a revolutionary. I mean he he's basically like Donald Trump of Argentina. He promised to take a chainsaw famously took a chainsaw and like just you know cut apart the Argentina bureaucracy that was holding Argentina back.
And um the other thing about Hav that's very important is that he's very close with Habadat Lubich. Okay. And I've talked about Habat Lubich before. You look at Habad Lubich. It's really interesting how they're connected to Donald Trump.
They're connected to um Vladimir Putin. Um there so they're connected Donald Trump through his son-in-law Jared Kushner. The Kushner family is are very heavy into Habad Lubovich and then you have uh Jav who is also uh associated with Hab Lub Habad Lubovich. In fact, as I pointed out, um, Hav's first visit, Hav's first visit as, uh, first foreign visit as head of state was to the grave of Rebees Ner who used to be the messiah of Hab Lubich. That there are a lot of people inhabit within Hab Lubich who consider him to be the messiah.
Okay. So I don't have enough evidence to suggest that this all conspiracy but it seems to me an alignment of interest where he millay found himself in a very uh good position
42:19and um transational capital saw him as a good investment because ultimately at the end of the day transaction capital has unlimited financing right so it cost him nothing to invest in a politician and now that melee has won out well now the relationship is becoming much more concrete. I think the same situation will happen with me with lean me right who um you know who who's a football star but you know maybe transa sees potential in him and so they invested him I mean that's also what happened with Donald Trump where in 1980s um not like like you know Donald Trump was the first original reality TV star he was he was he was in the tabloids every single day and then there were people who are like this guy could potent potentially be president of United States. It cost us nothing to become his friend. It cost us nothing to invest in his properties, right? So, let's just do it.
So, again, uh these people think in terms of like venture capitalists where instead of investing in companies, they invest in individuals who could have a bright political future. I I and I I think that was the case with having me. If you invest in these people, one of two of them if if it you you could be a unicorn. Okay. Um but essentially regardless of where he came from, HMLA now is bought and controlled by transational capital.
He is doing exactly what Israel wants in Argentina. Okay. So do do you have any more followup questions uh HH before I move on?
Uh no it's all good. Uh yeah, I just find it kind of funny how like uh he pride himself on like a libertarian and then as soon as he gets power, he becomes Israel's big
basically. Yeah, but a lot of them are like that.
A lot of them like that. I mean, Zilinski, king of power, promising to end the war in Ukraine. He actually visited Dombas and told these um ASOP battalion militants, right, these are
44:20basically Nazis to cut the crab out and they basically told him to get lost, right? So, and then uh Zillinsky now is the biggest proponent of this war in Ukraine. So, um Hannah, you have your hand raised. Do you have do you have a question or a comment?
Yes. Um it's actually about AI though. So, but I just feel like I'm not going to have a chance later to ask.
Okay, sure. Yeah, sure. Go ahead.
Yeah. Um so, yeah. uh you you mentioned that um there's like a planned orchestration to crash the stock market including via the AI bubble. I was wondering like what clues or evidence you have of that and also if you still think it'll happen 2026. So yeah, I I agree that AI is not profitable and I agree that the government will probably bail it out.
But before that I was wondering um yeah why you think so that it'll be crashed.
Yeah it's a planned crash.
Yeah. So there's a lot of synonying to suggest that they are planning on a crash. Again, I my theory and I could be wrong is that these crashes are manufactured rather than natural because I live in China and um we never had a financial collapse. And I found that really weird because if you look at if you look at the stock market, it's basically like a casino, right? Uh the real estate it's a bubble.
And so the it's a control demolition we have in China. So I find it weird that why is it in China um things are control demolitions? like you know the real estate market it's it's it's it's gone down but it hasn't collapsed the way that you saw in 2008 right whereas in America you have these like financial crisis all the time and I think it's because uh a lot of these crisis are manufactured so if they're manufactured what they need to do is signal that a crisis coming in order to basically uh cover their ass basically the idea is possible deniability right so so like you know all the signs were there that this was gonna collapse and it was not manufactured right So um certain signs I'm seeing like they're
46:21that they're going to manufacture an a collapse are one um you have people saying that a collapse is imminent right so Andrew Ross Sorcin who is probably the most famous financial journalist in America right now uh he runs uh dealbook for New York Times the most influential financial journalist uh in America and he wrote a book called 1929 and he's talking about how we are about to face a um financial uh crisis. This is a guy who spends every day with the leading CEOs of America and you only get into that position if you know exactly what they what they want you to do, right? So, uh so uh that's one clue. You also also have a journalist named Ed Zyron. Zi T R O N.
And he's very good. I mean like I I've watched his analysis. It's very strong. What's interesting to me though, what's interesting to me though is how he's being promoted in like major news out outlets um that are basically um u propagandists for the oligarchs. So Bloomberg, CNBC and he is saying that the AI is a complete bubble.
Okay, open AI cannot make money. It will never make money. Um and the collapse will happen very soon. Okay. So the first thing that you have is um signaling.
Okay. Then you have really prestigious institutions like the Bank of International Settlements, the Central Bank of Central Banks coming out with reports saying that because of this war in Iran because of disruptions to the global supply chain, you will have uh the collapse of the AI bubble. um that I think is a very very strong uh signal. And uh number three is you have people like Sun Altman who are open discussing that America that the American government should take
48:22a stake in open AI. Um and so you have these three things happening. I think what's happening is they want to to collapse the AI market. The reason why they want to collapse AI market is to basically to um um consolidate their the winnings, right? So you've you've got a lot of people investing uh in uh AI and a lot of these are retail investors.
Once you collapse the market, then you can consolidate your winnings. Basically uh transfer uh the money from the retail investors to your um to institutional investors. That's that's first. Second thing you can do is you can engineer a government bailout. So now you have almost unlimited financing for to for your database roll out.
Also the major issue with with the databases now is local opposition. But if but it's if it's being uh run by the government then you have things like eminent domain come into play and you can now quash opposition. Also uh these data centers consume a lot of water as well as as well as electricity right. So you need government support, government subsidies in order to maintain these uh data centers. Um and uh the third thing is to basically consolidate the market, right?
So you got too many players, you consolidate the market. And by the way, this is exactly what happened uh in the.com crash and in the subprime subprime crash as well. After what hap after this.com uh bubble after the do bubble burst you had a few players emerge as a dominant players and we became essentially monopoly such as Amazon um and Google and then um these oligarchs were able to consolidate their the winnings right so these stock market collapses they're often manufactured and they're often about ensuring that the oligarchs are able to consolidate their winnings okay um does that make sense Hannah or
yeah Um, I was always I was wondering what incentive people like Sorcin would
50:22have to tell us about this and I guess I guess he could profit from the crash because he would have had sold before, right? And then he tells us it's going to crash and he's hoping for the crash and then to reby it. So, so is that also what you mean that the day who wants to collapse it is will be people like him then?
Right. Right. So, any roen is different. Any roen he's a journalist. So he's basically a running dog of the oligarchs.
What he wants is access to power, right? The oligarchs want to consult the consult their winnings. But any Rosen Sorcin, he just wants access. He he wants to be associated with the elite. And as long as he does what the elite want him to do, then they'll take him out to dinner.
They'll invite him to Davos. They'll they'll be his they'll be his best friend, right? Does that make sense? So journalists are looking for access.
I see. Yeah. And the the oligarchs probably already sold and they want the crash, right? Basically, and they're hoping that's why they're telling people like these journalists then I guess.
Yeah. But also
giving this access,
but but also the real way to make your money is you short the market, right?
So you are imagining the market's going to go down to c to a certain number and that and that's how how you profit. that this is what happened during the subcomrum crisis when the bubble burst because institutional investors such as John Paulson he took out huge bets that the market would collapse right so he made $20 billion $20 billion off that crash that took away the mil that took away homes of millions of people John Paulson made $20 billion betting against the subprime market and I imagine the same thing will happen here when you have some institutional investors take out huge bets against the AI um um and they make a lot of money that way.
Okay. And just last part, uh, so do you think that it'll probably happen like by end of 2026 or when do you think the latest this could happen? Any thoughts on that?
I can't tell you this. Uh, it's it's almost like the World Cup where um, logically it should happen this year, but intuitively I think this thing can
52:22go on for a lot longer than we imagined. And the reason why is right now there there's only seven companies in the stupid game. Okay. As long as these seven companies support each other, um they're fine, right? So, um the game is set up so like we'll never figure out when they'll do it and when they do it, it will be to to their maximum benefit.
Okay. If that makes any sense.
H yes, I imagine this IPO thing also would um kind of play into it like after they IPO or at least Tesla. I mean SpaceX already IPOed so I imagine that's a signal but okay. Thank you, professor.
Okay. Yes.
Thanks. Thanks, Anna. Uh, Dia, you you had your Dia D I A.
Uh, hi. Yeah. Um, so thanks for taking my question. Uh, back to Argentina. It used to be a very rich country until the Great Depression caused it to fall out of trade routes with the rest of the world.
Um, considering that you believe that market crashes are possibly manufactured, do you think that other forces might have been behind its 20th century decline? And if so, what reasons might you have? What would you think of for that?
Right. So, that's a really good question. Uh, and so, uh, just just be clear. I don't think it was the Great Depression that caused Argentina's collapse. I think it was actually, um, the late 19th century, there was a collapse in Argentina.
Um, um, their economy collapsed. Okay. So, this was this is even before the Great Depression. And if you want to go conspiracy theorist, okay, you can make the argument that um it was because capital wanted to u transfer uh capital to Argentina and so they needed to cop some market in order to make land cheap for um their investment. Um but but that never materialized because they recognized
54:23that America, the United States was a better investment. Okay. So rather than the capital flowing to Argentina, it flowed to United States instead. This is also the time if you remember with um like this was the beginning of Zionism, right? So Fedor Herszo wrote his book um Junstat um basically Jewish homeland in the year and then um uh the Balf declaration was was I believe 197.
Um so this was during the time of the growth of Zionism. Uh this is when transnational capital is trying to shift from Europe the city of London uh to the western hemisphere. Um, so but but my intuition tells me okay and again I I don't know enough but my intuition just tells me like well Argentina was at this time the Japan of the world and like you know you had too many investments you had too you have too much capital uh in the place and um there wasn't enough um industrial capacity um there wasn't enough demand for for Argentina ina and so it um so the economy collapsed um basically it it was o overheating um and I mean I mean another way to understand this is not all things are conspiracies a lot is just fundamentals so if you have a really strong government if you have have a really dynamic political system if you have a really energetic population then uh the economy will do a lot better um the the the reason why I think that they want to do population replacement in Argentina is they recognize that people who are religious okay basically the Hindus and the Zionists they are going to work a lot harder to build your economy than people who are not religious uh people who are not religious tend to engage in speculative behavior like doing the least amount of work for the greatest
56:23profit uh and they be people who are non-religious also also tend to become very complacent right because they're not that motivated whereas if you're Hindu you or you're Zionist, you see it as God's will that you transform the land and into a great nation state. This is this is why the United States became so powerful, right? Because the United States was founded by Puritans, by these religious zealots. Um, and this explains why Utah is one of the most propest re propest regions in America because it was founded by Mormons who again are religious zealots. So if I'm if I'm an investor, I'm trying capital um I don't necessarily have an escalological framework, but I will invest in people who do because they will work harder [clears throat] than other people.
Okay. Um so so yeah, does that make sense, Dia? Or
uh yeah, thank you. Do you mind if I ask a follow-up question to what you was
uh this is more related to what you was talking about for the AI bubble. So about two years back, South Korea banned short selling and then in 2025 they essentially became the most um the stock market was became the most uh performant stock market in the world. Um do you think that has anything to do with the shortselling being banned and following up to that I suppose one of their companies has now entered the NASDAQ in the US. um and the NASDAQ and the stand uh S&P 500 are now deviating quite a bit. Do you think that any deviation there might um might not be part of the plan for transnational capitalism for example?
Yeah. Um my intuition tells me again I don't know enough about South Korea to like really be able to assess this situation but I think like the stock market collapses it's really a sign of society uh in decline because it's a sign of anxiety and desperation right so
58:23if you go if you go to South Korea the inequality the corruption in South Korea is beyond the charts okay and so the really the only uh option for most normal people is to gamble and stock market and like honestly these past few years you've seen this massive surge in the Korean stock market. It's the it is really the best performing stock market in the world right now. And so if you are a retail investor um you know you you're going to bet your life savings on the um stock market. It's the same situation in Canada where these past five years we've seen a huge surge in real estate prices and everyone was trying to jump into the real estate market believing well you know can uh there's only limited amount of housing you got all these these immigrants coming into the country so yes um these start housing prices can only go up and so people engage in really speculative behavior and I again I think it's really a a sign of society in decline where there's desperation, there's anxiety that translates into a um unrealistic euphoria for moneymaking. Um people are engaging in speculative behavior.
So rather than invest, people now gamble. And so we're seeing this in Canada uh in Australia with uh real estate speculation. We're also seeing that in uh South Korea with uh stock market speculation. So so I just think it's it's a sign of capitalism decline. I think that we are approaching the end times.
[snorts]
All right. Thank you.
Thank you. Okay, Fan. Uh Fan, uh you're next. Could you unmute yourself, please?
Hello, professor. Uh can you hear me? All right.
Yes, I can. You're perfect.
Yeah. Um
thank you for taking my question. Um I wanted to ask about sports. Uh you mentioned that you think the World Cup is a very significant geopolitical event, and I would definitely agree. Um to preface this, I guess I would say
60:24that uh oftentimes psychologists and sociologists talk about how sports are symbolic of war, of conflict, and how
absolutely
so even even spectators are able to feel passionate about it because it's like they're part of this of this greater tribal group.
Um and that the World Cup is definitely it is a symbolic struggle between nations. Um, so the question is, is there a way that transnational capital or the media or or even maybe the occult could could manipulate that tribalism for some kind of long-term strategy, whether to be to incite conflict or whatnot.
Yeah, that's a great question. You're absolutely right. Um, so soccer has become the substitute for war nowadays, right? And that's why there's so much um energy um surrounding soccer. You got like these people who will save up literally for like 10 years just so that they can fly to America, United States um to attend a World Cup match.
You got like tens of thousands of Argentinas. And Argentina is a poor country and these are like just middle class people. They are spending thousands on World Cup tickets um and then tens of thousands on travel on hotel. So um the World Cup really does bring out nationalistic sentiment and I think the purpose of the World Cup is just really to embed in people's imagination the nation state as the constituent element of the world game right so uh nationalism benefits transnational capital in that um if people are focused on nationalistic sentiments on nationalism then that allows transnational capital to manipulate everyone behind the scenes. Okay.
So uh transnational capital can invest in both China and United States and then create this narrative that the United States and China are in competition with each other which allows
62:24transnational capital to be parasitic force on both nation states and draw energy from both. Um so I I think that's what the game is. The game is not necessarily to manipulate people but to distract people to uh divert people's attentions from where the real action is happening. Okay. So trust capital uh is able to win because it's fooled people to it's fooled people to believe that money is wealth.
Uh when really money when really wealth is attention, it's energy. Um and um and and the entire point of the World Cup as a spectacle um is really to make people focus on the wrong things and make people make people think that they are uh a part of a nation state as opposed to being part of humanity, being part of God. If we are to to like thrive as a species, if we are really to uh survive the coming uh crisis of the next few decades, we need to remember that um we all have the power to create wealth for our attention, for our energy and we also need need to remember like we are all connected together. Uh and we also need to remember that we all connected to God. There's God in us and that we are part of God as well.
And if we recognize this, then we can create a new future for humanity. And so, Tres Capital, they're desperate to keep us focused on the here and now. They're focused uh they're they're determined to make us uh afraid and anxious. They're determined to make us focus on our rivalries and and uh anxiety against each other. They're focused on making us think that money is the end all beall.
Okay. So, I I think that's really the point of the World Cup. That makes a lot of sense. Thank you. Oh,
thank you. Um, Javanni, uh, Javanni, uh,
64:25are are you here? Did you have a question or comment? Could you please unmute yourself? Javani?
Yes. Profess. Yes. Can you hear me?
Yes, I can hear you fine.
Thank you so much, Professor Chong. Thank you so much for everything that you do. Um, I saw this comment on um on like the this guy named Henry Fang. He wasn't his microphone is not working, but he had a question. So, I was just going to ask that.
Um, so he said, "Is there validity to the reports of original Nazis escaping to Argentina? And if that were perhaps true, how does that relate to modern day these rural enter?"
Oh, yeah. I mean that that's a historical fact. I I I don't think anyone denies that. If you look at World War II, uh both the Vatican and the Argentina government were very supportive of the Nazis. And um towards the end of World War II, when it was clear that that the Nazis were were about to lose the war, they created all these channels um to smuggle Nazis into Argentina.
And um this is what a lot of countries did, right? Right. So the Soviet Union and uh the United States also um smuggled a lot of Nazi scientists into their countries. Um in America this was called operation paper paperclip and these Nazis were responsible for the United States space program as well as the space program of the Soviet Union. So this space race between uh the Soviet Union and the United States was not between United States and the Soviet Union.
It was between German scientists, Nazi scientists working for the Soviet Union and Nazi scientists working for the United States. Okay. Uh and the reason why is the Nazis were the first develop uh advanced rocket technology, the V2 basically. And so the Argentinas wanted the Nazis for the same reason. uh not just ideological but because uh the
66:25Nazis had tremendous expertise in the political system in e in in finance economy in business and uh they want they wanted that access and you can argue like this sort of um u the Nazi influence in Argentina it's still there today you you if you go to Argentina you're going to find entire communities of like these blond blueeyed uh you know, aryens. Um so, uh I think Argentina takes tremendous pride in being like very white ve very very Aryan and they take tremendous pride in the fact that they were sympathetic towards the Nazis in World War II. Okay. All right. Uh
yeah. Uh uh Weisslaw uh Weisslaw, are you here? Could you unmute yourself, please? Okay. Uh, Sama, Samska, are you here?
Uh, Samska, do you have your hand up? Did Did you want to ask a question? Please unmute yourself. Um, okay. Um, hh, did you have another question?
Hh,
uh, yes I did. Uh, yes I did. Y, uh, basically, yes. So, I just want to ask like, um, this is not about the World Cup directly, but it's related again about like, you know, like the Israel and the Zionists. So you mentioned in your lectures and I find it very interesting how like like first of all I learned a lot of history through you and I did a like research myself.
What I'm like really curious about and I haven't really found like a definite answer on this is like why the Jews, especially
68:26the rabbis agree to basically like be um kind of like on schedule like routinely abused by the Catholic Church and scapegoed like okay I get like okay well they let them survive and you know like cope with the Europeans but it's like well in you know apocalyptic uh Judaism if they're going to be abused like that like for such a long time, why don't they just like rise up together and if they like if everyone dies, okay, well like at least we tried, right? Like why would you allow yourself to be abused like that like for like centuries? Yeah. So like that that's my question you know Catholic church you said okay there's like secret agreements between the rabbis and they are often scapegoed by all these terrible things. It's like, okay, well, you have messiahs like rise up, bro.
Like, um, sabotage every Why didn't every Jew like, "Okay, hey, screw it. Let's just to hell with the Catholic Church. We all die. We all die." Um, yeah. I'm a bit confused with that.
Thank you.
Yeah. Okay. So, I think the history of Judaism in Europe, um, after Christianity, um, it's very complicated. Okay. But, but let me give you my understanding of what I think happened.
So after the rise of both Christianity and Islam and there were a lot of Jews who converted to to Christianity and uh uh Islam. So remember like the first Christians like people like Paul, Peter, Jesus, they were actually Jews. Um and so um you know Judaism at this point it's basically a very minority um religion whereas during the Roman Empire before uh Christianity um Jews made up about 10% of the Roman Empire that's a lot of people right and in some place like Alexandria it was a third of the population were Jews so uh the Jews were a huge cultural force
70:27um uh during the Roman Empire and then with the rise of Christianity, with the rise of Islam, they became very minority. They they became um decimated over time and um during the Middle Ages there were still pockets of Jews around Europe and I think a lot of this history is not really fully appreciated. So I think that yes there were a lot of programs there were a lot of persecutions a lot of scapegoating of of Jews especially in the worst economic times but I would say like for the majority of this history Jews were a lot uh better treated than people uh appreciate. Okay. So let me explain the logic here.
Okay. So at the time in Europe I'm I'm talking about the middle ages there are two main powers right? You have the feudal lords the nobility and you have the Catholic church. And for the nobility uh the Jews are great to work with because as nobles you have certain problems that you need you need to re resolve and Jews can help you resolve this issue. First of all, you need a captive um man managerial class, right?
So, your plantation owner, you need plantation managers and you need people who are loyal to you. Well, Jews are very loyal to you because you're the only one giving them protection, right? They're minority uh in a Catholic um area and these Catholics are are are taught that the Jews killed killed Jesus. And so if you're a nobility and you provide protection for the Jews, well, uh, these Jews are are are going to work really hard for you and they're not going to about pay and, uh, treat and and like being treated better. Okay, they are very loyal and obedient and hardworking uh, uh, uh, workers.
Okay, so that's point one. Point two is at this time there's a lot of trade going on and you
72:29want to trade with the Islamic C caliphate, right? Well, the only people who can allow you to trade with Islamic Cath caliphate are the Jews because they have networks in the Islamic caliphate. Okay, so the Jews allow you to access uh trade networks around the the world. And the third thing that's really important is Jews have access to financing. uh and Jews unlike Christians are allowed to be money lenders and the best way to make money at this time is through usery right so as a Christian lord as a Christian noble you're not allowed to lend money to people at interest but the Jews are right so you get the Jews to be the scapegoat for you and again throughout most of history uh this relationship is fine uh the Jews um are able to accumulate wealth and they give you a huge portion of this wealth.
Jews work hard for you and Jews uh allow you to to access trade in the Islamic caliphate. So for from the p perspective of the nobility, this is a great relationship. Jews put up with this because it allows them to practice their religion and allows them to stay together as a community. Okay. The Catholic Church sees Jews also as an asset because um uh because and Augustine writes about this in in in in his uh writings but Augustine's point is if you are truly to get the Catholic people to appreciate the privilege of being Catholic, you need to create the other.
You need to create a people to show Catholics what happened. You give the faith. And the answer is the Jews, right? So you create Jews as this alien other and you, you know, create artwork. You create these writings that chastise them that um insult them, but you you basically promote anti-semitism, but it's it's a controlled anti-semitism, right?
And so again, throughout most of this of this time, this relationship
74:30worked out well for the Catholic Church, worked out well for the nobility, and worked out well for the Jews. And then there are certain times when um the nobility is so corrupt when the Catholic Church is so corrupt that the people rise up in which case what do you do? You blame the Jews, right? You you divert their attention to the Jews. You plant uh spies, you plant um agents within these peasant uprisings and you get them to direct their anger at the Jews.
Okay? And then if things get really bad, what do you do? you expel the Jews from your land, they go to the Islamic caliphate or who cares where who cares where they go and that um makes people feel a lot better. Okay? And so you have this very unstable leadership where okay most of the time things are working out great but in times of calamity in times of famine in terms of like black death uh students become the scapegoats and this is important for us to appreciate because the same dynamic could turn out today where okay it seems like uh Zionist and Jews control the world uh but they only do so uh as long as the ruling elite are tolerate them, right?
And we have to remember like when things get really bad, if there's economic collapse, if there's famine, well, the elite is going to direct our anger towards the Jews. Um, so this is something that that um this is a history that's not really discussed, but it's something that we really need to appreciate if we are to uh understand what might happen next next 10 20 years. Okay, does that make sense? HJH.
Yeah. So I mean it it definitely does make sense but like you know like the key point about like why the obviously the Jews like at first okay that kind of benefits us we get a trade and they have these secret understandings but then once they get like abused so much why
76:30would they just like keep sort of like you know accept the fact that they're second class or or like subhumans and at any time they can be disposed by a higher power. So they're kind of like conscientiously accepting that they are a secondass people. Why would they do that? Because you know it's not like once or twice. It's like it's like a
like very serious you know pog rooms um and like expelling.
Yeah. Yeah.
Yeah. Okay. So uh there's actually a very easy but simple explanation for this and the answer is if the Jews just uh converted on mass the rabbis would lose all their power right the Jewish elite would have absolutely no power right like so really uh this is really to justify the rabbis and to ensure they continue their their power. So remember the thing the thing about the rabbis is that it's dynastic. So the rabbis pass on their power to their authority to their sons and to the grandsons as well.
So it's passed within the family. So the rabbis are basically the aristocracy of the Jews. And in order for the aristocracy, the rabbis to maintain power, you have to have Jews, right? So, so, so you create a situation where okay, you explain to the Jews this p this persecution, it is the will of God and the and God wants us wants you to be persecuted to force you to redeem yourself to repent to recognize God as the supreme authority welcome God into your into your bosom and then God will send the Messiah to you
to you. So I hate to say this and it's really really cynical explanation but in any society the elite are looking to justify and rationalize their power over the people. And you know what it it would probably be in the best interest of um all the Jews to basically convert
78:34uh to the whatever local religion and so everyone gets along. And honestly this is what's been happening throughout most of human history. You know like if you go to a new region then you convert to the local uh religion. The other thing is like you know uh before the rise of Christianity
most communities were extremely tolerant. They were polytheistic. They were like you know like if you want be if you want to be a Jew Jew fine we don't care but you have you also have to like you know welcome our gods as well. But the Jews were distinct in that they only accepted their own god as a legitimate god and they you know the first commandment is do not worship false idols. Right?
So they uh disparage and uh refuse to accept other gods and that's what got them got in trouble with the Romans. Right. So so that's a cynical explanation.
I'm not I'm not sure that makes sense.
Yeah. Okay. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
Uh no. Yeah. It's uh it seems like the rabbis kind of like the medieval PMC in a way like a medieval professional bad mal class. Well well they're the Jewish aristocracy, right? Yeah.
Yeah. Yeah.
Okay. I mean, look, uh, this guy, um, Colton, uh, can I ask a question like on his behalf because he says his mic is broken?
Sure. Go.
It's kind of related, actually. It's kind of related. He's like, "Okay, Prophet John, you spoken about to from [snorts] atheism after encountering Dante, assessing higher forces/God in teaching, yet not identifying as traditional traditionally religious. How does your understanding of esquetology connect with your view of God and absolute truth and what is your perspective on the Abrahamic religions in relation to that?
Yeah, this is like Cole's question I was asking. Yeah,
sure. Sure. Okay. So, um I don't see myself as religious. I think that religion is too organized for me.
I see myself as spiritual. Um, and what I mean
80:36by that is rather than adhering to doctrine, I adhere to intuition. And my intuition tells me like we are all part of God and God is part of um part of of us. I have a lot of issues with estology and my main theory is that we have estology because of the uh protoindo-uropean religion. Um so the protoindo-uropean religion is unique in human history in that it's really the first uh religion uh first systematic religion that believes that violence is what created the universe. Okay.
So before the protoindo-uropeans most uh traditions subscribe to a animistic or a mother goddess understanding which is uh a belief in the balance and harmony of the world and that we are all part of the mother goddess and we're all part of nature and but po Indo-Uropeans are imperialistic in that they believe that is violence um that created the uh the world and so the most basic myth of the protoindouropeans is like like in the beginning they were twins. Okay. And then one twin had had to kill the other in order to found the world and this is a myth that becomes a template for you know the Roman religion where Ramis has to kill Remulus in order to found Rome. It becomes the foundation for many uh religions especially the Abrahamic uh religions. And the thing is that like if you believe the world was created by true violence you also have to believe the world must end with violence.
And that's the and that's why you have esquetology. Okay. So the proto induropeans gave us both uh jurorinism um as well as um Judaism. Um and over time both of these will become extremely esquetological. So that that's my understanding of what happened.
Uh but that but what this means is like um the world it the world doesn't necessarily
82:37need to be esquetological. Uh but unfortunately we're controlled by people who believe in esquetology because if I said previously people who believe in esquetology tend to be very violent people and people who are very violent will have often be able to amass more power than those who people who are not violent. Okay. Um Kitty uh did you have a um question?
I will ask a quick question. I don't want to keep you from going to the Iran politics. Um the question I have is I really appreciate your lecture series on Dante that was very new. I did not have any idea about Christianity before that. So it was u beautiful how you extracted messages of love and wisdom from from that.
But what also stood out was your interaction with the students the way you talked with each other and kind of got a new perspective. Um, did you also plan to have more sessions like these on different epics um that humanity has to offer? Because there might be things that are hidden in open um out there that we might benefit from if you were to look at it and if we had to if we had those discussions together.
Yeah, I think that's a great idea. I would love to do a summer series on the um on the the the the vitas on the occult on um on the teachings of say maybe Manny P Hall and Rudolph Steiner because I I I think like like these texts would lend themselves to great discussions. And the reason why I taught the Dante seminar is I want to learn um I never read Dante in full. I've taught Dante before, but I've never really read him from like line to line. and um just reading him line to line just opened my eyes and as you as you can appreciate doing it in a seminar style really drove learning for everyone.
So so I I would love to to to to do it again. Um I would love to do a seminar on the Bible on the
84:37VAS on on text that I would struggle with if I had if I were to read them by myself but which I would be much more motivated to learn if I were doing a group. Okay. So, thanks so much for that, Kitty. Uh, Wes Law, uh, did you can you unmute yourself, please?
And
yes, I am here.
Yeah.
Sorry, last time um I didn't realize it was
my question was um are the failing authoritarian empire sensing this is their last opportunity for their projected colonial ambitions? Um and so what options has the rest of humanity at its disposal to resist invasions from these and um emerging um uh authoritarian empires because they're all following suit, aren't they? They're they're realizing that you want to do
Yeah. Thanks for for that. Okay. Yeah. So I think like watching the world cup was interesting for me because um you're actually right in like you know they are accelerating the process and uh they're moving very fast but it seems like the people within the movement have become arrogant and lazy and complacent.
Okay. And an example I will use is you know the Zionist takeover of the American media ecosystem. So, um, the Ellison's have bought CBS, uh, Viacom, and they plan to take over CNN, and they want to install Barry Weiss, uh, into these institutions. And the logic is, well, you know, we've lost the young people. We've lost the global population, but as long as we keep the boomers, we're okay.
And that that that's a fine strategy. But then, you know, you look at what actually what's happening. And Barry Weiss is just incompetent. and the journalists working under her are just disgusted with her management. She keeps herself locked in a room surrounded by security.
Uh so she refuses to engage
86:39with with the staff. So, um, yes, they the Zionists, uh, Treasure Capital, the Empire, they have all the power, but at the same time, it just seems like they're just exhausted themselves. And they have a script in place, and they're trying to finish the script as quickly, as easily, as lazily as possible. And I think all this will collapse in their face. I I I I think I I think everything will blow up in their face.
I think I I I I think they're just done for. Um, and maybe they're they're powerful for another five years, but I I don't think they will achieve what they want to achieve.
Yeah, I think you're right. Um and what but what options have we in humanity, the majority in the world um and many I suppose who were naive like like I was uh I must say before I heard a number of your lectures um about some of these um forces that are operating around us and and where we're supposed to swim in this evil sea.
Yeah. So um my best advice is to reclaim your attention right to recognize that you do matter that everything you do
does matter it has an impact on the universe. So if you reclaim your attention you start focusing on things that you enjoy doing and which um further the imagination of humanity then then you are winning this battle. Okay. So I would just say read a lot, teach um uh you know go go for long walks in the park, get away from social media and first and foremost start teaching, start giving. And teaching could just be like, you know, having a having a conversation with a neighbor where you're sharing some ideas that you might have learned from my class.
Uh maybe helping young people start to read books again. So just like acts of generosity and kindness are going to go a long way in
88:39making a better world. I I know it can seem insignificant, but but trust me, it all adds up.
We need to join our life preservers together, don't we? So we can um go together as a very large raft on this crazy sea.
That's right. That that's right. And and and that that's what I'm hoping to do. Uh and and that's why, you know, we're having these Zoom discussions because uh I'm trying to figure out who's out there and what what we can do what we can do together. So, thanks so so much.
Thanks.
Okay. Thanks. Uh Karina, did did you have a question? Karina?
Uh yes. Can you hear me?
Yes, I can hear you fine.
Great. Um yeah, I had a question. Um I've been, you know, kind of researching a bit about like the Cabala and like, you know, what that really is.
Yeah. And um I've noticed a couple things especially by listening to like Tony Kisnik online that there's like a couple mis misconceptions I guess out there about like the koala. I originally thought it was just for Jewish people, but it seems that um the uh I guess the Torah and the Gomorrah were were created as like a way for people to find spirituality if they couldn't read the primary text of the Cabala since it was written in the like uh language of branches. And I notice a lot of like similarities with the way uh Dante's Divine Comedy is written and the way like you grab that book and depending on how wise you are, you're able to actually read that book more and reach spirituality that way as well, even if it's completely separated from a, you know, Jewish text. And you know, I've started to do a little bit more research on that and I just I I I realized that, you know, I know that there's a Shabbat com campaign that that kind of takes Cabala in a negative way
90:39and it basically is like their method of I guess urgency for their final goal is like global outreach to get everyday people to execute physical rituals. So like they it's like a mass of people that they want to get to together to do the same thing. Um but then there's also like the Ash ashelagian vision which is you know their method of urgency is basically widespread education to change the internal desire of mankind by correcting their ego and their pro they it's more of a promotion of like global society structured entirely on giving and unity which is a lot of what you say which is like you should be receiving to give. Um, and I just wanted to kind of get your comment on that if that's kind of how you see the world where you're, you know, you're trying to receive to be able to bestow on to everyone else.
No, I I completely agree. Um, the Cabala is it's a wonderful work and the Cabala draws on the greatest traditions um of humanity, right? So like I'm actually reading Manley Ph. Hall right now. He shows us how, you know, all these previous traditions uh and they it includes the Egyptian tradition, Isis, the legend of Isis and Osiris.
Uh you go look at the legend of Penelpi um and Orpheus, uh Dianisis, um you know, and and it all goes back to the idea of the Cabala. Okay, so the Cabala is drawing on all these ancient traditions that have been lost over time. But the main idea is like ultimately humanity is a whole and for a variety of reasons we've decided to splinter ourselves up into different fragments. And the other thing is humanity it's we humans are divine
92:39spiritual beings and through a very long process we've descended into the material world and we've we've turned hell into heaven right we've come down into this uh material world and we've we've adopted a more mineral mentality you know we we we we basically prioritize the uh body over the spirit and if we are to redeem ourselves. If we are really to achieve our full potential, we need to prioritize our soul, our spirit above our bodies. But it's hard um you know, it's so easy to just enjoy bodily pleasures like food and sex and wine and really hard to truly embrace uh spiritual pleasures such as giving to others, teaching others, being kind to others. Um and this is the ultimate struggle. So the battle of heaven and hell is actually all within us.
So I completely agree with with with with everything you said.
Okay, great. Uh that's it for me. Thank you.
Thank you. Okay. Um so HH uh did you have a question and and and then after you finish I'll move very quickly to uh the Iran war.
Okay. Okay. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
Yeah. So yeah. So um I've asked a lot of questions. This is my uh my last one. Uh, basically, you know, I was born in China as well, Jang.
I was born in Shandong.
So, I'm a Shandong.
Oh, great.
Yeah. Shandong. Um, I think you really appreciate. Have you been in Shandong before or not?
Um, no, I have not actually. It's weird, but I've never been to Shandong.
It's It's kind of like the Texas of of China.
Okay.
Uh people like people like much more traditional, much more much more like you know, confusion. Yes. is pretty sexist cuz like you know like you know women kind of it's a birth birthplace of confusionism right Shandong uh yeah so look um I came to Australia when I was like very young and I found your lectures the most interesting thing
94:39I found and the way I sort of discovered you actually was uh through your talks about how consumerism is the perfection of slavery now I just found that as such a powerful kind of like quote and I'm like I've just memorized for that rest of my life. Um, it really speaks to me because you see like, you know, you spoke a lot about like how like China's education system is hopeless and you tried to like changing it but it's like very hopeless. Can you talk more about like like how like in the big cities and I also I see you go to Japan recently. Um, I myself been Japan quite a few times like as a tourist.
I want to go there to actually do a scholarship through there like whatever um thing. And you know when I was there the first few times I found it like really fun. The more I studied the society like like I saw like East Asian you know um uh East Asian, Korea, Japan, uh Taiwan, China, these sort of societies, it seems to me the reason why they're collapsing, you know, the population is like imploding and there so much like mental illnesses. We joke like mental illness maxing, you know, like Japan's always like got crazy people going around killing people. China I think in recently 2023 in high none there was like there was like a car that plowed like 30 people but basically the country has a huge mental health crisis um I think what's happening is it's kind of like these are societies where they they went from feudalism
and sort of like jumped straight straight into like
um industrial capitalism
and then sort of like rushed into
consumerism as well and I Consumerism really is a big issue in Asia where all young people care about is, okay, do I look sexy? Do I have big big boobs and ass? Is my skin pale white? Am I snow white? And all they care about is like LV bags and Gucci bags.
Yeah.
Um like like serious like Korea like kids as I was 14 years old, I think
96:39there's like 40% of like some like that like had plastic surgery.
It's like a society imploding. Um could you like explain more about your observations about you know because in Beijing like sort of big metropolitan cities and like like what is the psychology of young people and do you really think it's like it's this unholy marriage between like confusion you know like hierarchy and like let's say like a capitalist solless consumerism it's a lot of buzzwords but like you get what I mean yeah that idea yeah
yeah no I I completely agree I mean, uh, I completely agree with your assessment. I've been here in China for the past, uh, 25 plus years, and I'm appalled by the level of materialism in this country. And I've been trying for 25 years to try to get people to be much more intellectual, be much more enlightened. Um, and they just think I'm I'm just crazy. They just think that, you know, I'm a troublemaker.
They they literally use the term troublemaker. Uh I've been fired from a lot of schools and um I mean even though I'm kind of popular right now uh in the west uh I'm still like a par figure here in China. And I think a lot of it is they don't they suspect me, you know, they I I mean like like it's not just materialism, but it's also how materialism warps the imagination of people here. And in China like black is white, white is black. So um I mean I make these comments and maybe people in the west find me insightful because it aligns with a lot of u people's intuitions in the west, but here in China people think I'm a They literally think I'm stupid.
They literally think that I'm just making this crap out of out of no nowhere and I'm just like bullshitting everyone and they think like like they literally believe this and like like this is like an upside down bizarre society. So I think it's it's much
98:40deeper than just materialism. It's it's it's also like just like a complete lack of faith in God. I mean like like like I live in China. It's like a godless society. And you know, I was in Japan and and I think you're you're absolutely right.
Like it's a fun place to visit. I would never want to live there because I'm not Japanese. Um you know, Japan is a very cohesive uh very conforming society. And I think you're absolutely right in like, you know, like these societies in the long term, they're not survive. If you know, if you insist on this materialistic godless worldview, um then ultimately you're going to collapse as society over time.
And so even though a lot there are a lot of issues in the west the issues are a lot more stark here in East Asia right so you look at the birth rate the fertility rate that that's the greatest sign that the people have absolutely no faith in your own society right when the young people absolutely refuse to have children and like it's it's like I mean in in South Korea I think the fertility right now is like 0.6 six dependence one in China it's one and it's like it's I think like in five years time uh the Chinese fertility rate is going uh be lower than uh South Korea let me tell you a really like incredible statistic so I have three kids my wife and I we have three three kids three wonderful kids and my wife when she went to college in Beijing she had like seven roommates so there's eight of them altogether okay and my wife uh she's She's a lot younger than I am. She she's in her 30s now. And you know by by now um um you know woman should have had one or two child. Okay. So eight women and altogether they like collectively they have like three kids.
So only my wife has had children. All her other uh roommates and these are like middle class people right? Uh who do not have financial problems. They they refuse to have kids here. So, so I think um we are
100:41looking at really the end of East Asia. That like that's like literally what I believe. People talk about the East Asian century. People talk about the East Asian miracle. No, I think I think we are moving towards the end of East Asia.
And I don't know what what what comes after this. Okay. So, so thanks so much. HH. So, um let me very quickly go to uh Iran, okay, the Iran war.
And I'm going to share my screen now. And um um we'll we'll Uh, I want to be quick about this because um I I've been talking for almost two hours now and I'm getting pretty tired. Um, but let me talk very quickly about the Iran war because I'm very troubled by what's happening. Basically, what I'm observing these past few days is like it's become a it's become a cluster It's a dumpster fire now. Um, I have absolutely I'm really worried about what's happening guys.
Um because it seems as though the Americans the the United States is going to escalate rapidly with within the next week or so. Uh and people are talking talking about ground forces. So this is a map of what a ground invasion of Iran would look like. I I I don't I have no idea who created this, but it seems pretty right to me. They want to attack from from three axes.
Okay. Uh basically from Iraq. Uh so they sent in Kurds from Iraq. they sent in um the Baltics from Pakistan and then you have the Americans trying to uh wrestle control from the IRGC uh because they're trying to control the Hamus. Okay, so this is what they might be looking at.
This would be the greatest cluster in recent memory. Okay, it would be a dumpster fire. This would be a absolute catastrophe for the Americans. Okay, so let let me go over why. First of all, there's no way you're going to get the Kurds to become suicide bombers.
Okay, this is like literally what the Americans are saying to the Kurds. We'll give you weapons. We'll give you lots of
102:41US dollars as long as you send your man to die off in u uh the mountains of Iran. And the goal is not to actually win against Iran. The goal the goal is to draw the IRGC so so we can bomb them and make ourselves look better on TV. That's like literally the goal to have like better PR because right now the PR is just terrible for us. And the Kurds are like basically like we'll take your money, we'll take your weapons, but uh otherwise screw you, man.
So this is going to be a complete clutch of here. Okay, there's no way the Kurds go in for the Americans, but there but I think the Kurds will just rip off the Americans. Uh same thing with the Bolics. Why are the Bolics going to go in and sacrifice themselves for the Americans? That's just that's that's just ridiculous.
The real issue is in the hammus where I think Trump has it in his mind that if you capture these islands, Kasam Island, Car Island, then the Iranians would be forced to surrender just as he got into his head uh that if you kill the Aatollah, the Iranians would surrender. Um so unfortunately what's happening is the Americans want to win this war as quickly as possible at as little cost as possible. And if you want to win this war, you you have to invest like four years and two million troops. That's the only way. Okay.
So, um um this ground invasion can only be a dumpster fire. The good news though is like I think they they can't do it right now because it's too hot. Um uh they might attempt um to take a couple islands. Uh but a full scale granovation they have to wait until the weather gets cooler which would basically mean November and ideally uh uh December. Okay.
So that is what the graduation looks like. What this is like really weird but whoever is coming up with these plans do not factor in uh Iranian topography like like like how do you send in forces against mountains? I mean like I I I don't
104:42understand what the these people are thinking right now. Like like like like is the military leadership of America right now completely divorced from all reality? Why don't look at a map and ask yourself like is it feasible sending ground forces against mountains? It's not feasible, man. It just is not.
This is this is why um anytime any anyone's attempted to invade Persia, it's ended in disaster. And like the Americans want to do this in a quick time frame, right? Maybe in the next year they want this war to end. It's not going to end in a year. This is going to be another forever war.
Um but but um right now what's what's happening is um they're publicizing these deaths of American uh soldiers, these casualties. And when that happens, it just means like the American military is preparing for um doubling down on this war because you have to avenge these soldiers, right? So the the American military um policy is leave no man behind. So if someone gets uh trapped in Iran, as these pilots got trapped in Iran uh a few months ago, you go send in like 2,000 soldiers, get them out. Okay.
Now, if you have soldiers dying in this war, you have to go and avenge them. Um so um another really important map I will show you is this. You see how uh right now there are two choke points. Okay, you have the shoo where the which is what's being controlled by now right now by the RGC, but you also have down here the Bag Ld straight which is now being controlled by the Houthies. The problem with both straits is you can't del you can't dislodge either the Houthies or the IRGC because they're all secluded in mountains.
It's so easy to choke these um uh um straits. And so it guys, this is going to be a complete dumpster fire. It's a complete cluster Um, this war is going to escalate rapidly over
106:43next couple weeks. Already the Americans are targeting power plants and dissolation plants in Iran. In response, the Iranians are are doing the same thing. They're targeting dissolation plants in Kuwait. And um, the GCC is done for.
Um I I I don't see how this war now deescalates. I I don't see how things don't become a complete cluster for the entire world. Okay. So I I I I just point this out to everyone. Uh any questions or or comments?
Um Karina, uh sorry, I see Karina. Karina, did do you have a um a comment or question?
Yeah. So um so I you know I completely agree with everything that you're saying. I was actually writing an article about this. I'm I am trying to do what you know what you said try to teach to understand this stuff more and I mean there is this you know weird intersection that I am seeing where like um you have stated in the past where you know Israel's created this you know total enemy and um they they see them you know um I mean their their polit their political rivals as like completely evil. So, I mean, there is no deescalation or negotiations when you see someone as evil.
Uh, you know, you feel like you're mandated to uh kill your political opponents. And um you know, you see that especially how they see the Palestinian people. They've almost just jump jumbled them together with how they see Hamas and Hezbollah and everything. Uh that combined with you know the US's empire in decline and um you know the US just being incredibly desperate to figure something else out because they have you know this taking time bomb of debt on their hands. Um and then you know if you kind of see as like a kind of like a ven diagram when you have geopolitical tensions abroad and
108:44then you compare that with the political tensions within the US uh with just the demographics in general it's kind of hard not to see that the intersection between the two is going to be a sacrifice of the youth because you're kind of feeding one into the other. uh you're you're feeding the the the I guess the unruly uh youth that are going to be upset about their country basically falling apart in front of them into this you know war machine. Um my question to you though is that when you have two partners that are uh completely unified in their respective um missions, you know, with Israel having the the esqueological uh fervor of wanting to, you know, you know, kill the world if it means killing their enemies like they're going they're set on uh you know, Pax Judeao or the Greater Israel Project. And then you have the US that's completely set on maintaining their empire and getting control of these choke holds. I don't see how I I don't see how they're ever going to come down from that.
I I think it's either like they're going to do it or die trying and we're kind of just the casualties of war.
Yeah, I agree. I'm I'm sorry your analysis is perfect. I I have nothing to add add to your analysis. This is is perfect. Um I'm I'm I'm sorry to say that, but like I completely agree with with your assessment.
Yeah. And I mean, so okay, so I'm Gen Z, right? And obviously like I'm writing this and I'm learning about this and it's highly depressing because, you know, these are like my classmates, these are my friends.
Um but you know, we're all interconnected. you know, even the millennial class, I mean, I'm sure the conscription age will get to a higher point where they're uh trying to enlist uh people in their 30s. And I mean,
110:44those are our, you know, our brothers and you go up to our parents and you go up to our grandparents, like all of the generations are interconnected together. And it's very difficult to, you know, study this and learn more about this when it's I mean, you're basically just reading about how everything else around us is going to collapse. I guess another question would be is how do you continue to learn more about this, teach more about this when you know that it's just widening your viewpoint on the disaster that's happening around you? Yeah. No, that's a great question.
So, I mean, um, it's a very strange process where you start learning this and the first reaction is just anger at these people for their incompetence, for their lack of any human sympathy, uh, for their callousness. Okay, you're just angry now. But then as you learn more, you become more depressed and recognize that this is the totality of the system. Um, and there's very little that you can do about it. And the more you learn, you're like, "Wait a minute here.
If I know what's happening, um, that's a sense of of empowerment. That's a sense of liberation. At least I won't die ignorant. At least I'll I'll die knowing what happened." And then you look for solutions and you recognize that wow, I'm not alone in my sentiments. You know, I like when I first started doing my YouTube channel, I had no idea that uh millions would start watching my videos.
And like that surprised me. I'm like like why is this happening? Because all I'm talking about is how the world is ending. And I'm obviously not I'm I'm I'm also not doing in like clear English. I'm not articulate in the way
112:45that a lot of people on media are articulate. And also the production qualities are just complete crap, man. It's like literally me turning on the on the computer and then me doing a lecture for 40 minutes and then turn it off and like why are so people why are they watching this? And so I I think this same process will happen with you Karina where you start writing these articles. you start making these comments and then you know people are are come to you and says hey tell me more and like just the fact that people are interested in your ideas and people are willing to have have a conversation means that there's hope for the world
that there's hope for the world because
people are are waking up right so so so I think that's you know I'm completely surprised by by this where you know only because like for the past two years I've only been talking about the most depressing things but you The fact that I'm talking about these depressing things have given people hope as well as as myself hope because it means that we humans are capable of knowing what is right, what is wrong. And we want a better life for ourselves, for our neighbors, for our friends, and for our children. And so we're going to work hard to achieve this. So I think this is a process, and we're we're only at the beginning stage of this process, but I think that we'll come out uh pretty good at the end of it. Yeah, I I I completely agree.
I I definitely when I you know started learning about this stuff. I think at the end of it from like the conclusion of just you know writing and getting back into writing I just realized that like I feel like the only real way out of this is for everyone to you know pick a movement and to do whatever they can to support it whether that's with time or writing or financially or you know just I mean I've seen comedians do uh comedic uh their comedic standup doing it or singing or writing or I mean I I feel like that's the really the only way for us to be able to get through this is for everyone to stop being like a
114:45spectator in it and to just
express themselves through their own um you know their advantage point whatever they're good at.
Exactly. Thanks so much.
Yep. That's exactly right Karina. Okay. Thanks so much. Okay.
Uh AK uh could you unmute yourself please? AK. Uh yes do professor uh good morning. Thank you for the uh for the meeting. I just have a question.
I'm a GCC citizens actually specifically Oman
and I would like to know your perspective on the geopolitical scenarios for Oman
in the current situations given the neutrality that we are practicing uh with our foreign part foreign neighbors and with Iran specifically.
Yeah. So Oman was the mediator uh for um the uh nuclear talks between Iran and United States and um in the beginning Iran saw Oman as a as as a potential ally right and that's why Iran was willing to share the sh moose with Oman um but I think that things have developed to a point where um Iran sees everyone in the GC as an enemy how um so Oman is no longer neutral in this war. Iran does see Oman as part of this American Israel axis and so right now Iran is targeting um [snorts] Ban Kuwait u but Jordan um but over time I think the Iran will be basically like you know what screw this let's just blow up the GCC. What's happened is that um thisou the ceasefire the failure of this MOU and ceasefire has basically given a lot of power to the RGC because remember the Ayatollah uh Moab uh KA he was actually opposed to this MOU because he thought the Americans would not would
116:45not uh honor it but he said that well I'm opposed to this but I listen to my adviserss I listen to president and so I agreed to the MOU. Um, and the fact that this MOU has failed is now will is basically making the hardliners in Iran much more determined to fight this war on an esqueological level. Okay. So, as this war progresses, it becomes esqueological. Basically means a fight to the finish.
No more no more compromise, no more ceasefire. That said, this this will be a very long process. So, it's possible in August uh there's another ceasefire for another few more weeks. But I think that the trend, the general trend is towards an esquetological uh conflict um where Israel wants to achieve the greater Israel project. Uh there are many in the American military like like Peter Hex who sees this war uh as bring bringing in the as as causing the return of Jesus.
And then you have the Iranians who see this war as leading to a rise of the 12 IMAN uh who will lead the uh Iran to total victory against the great Satan. Okay. So the prospects are not very good for the GCC in general. But I also think that what's going to happen over time is this war is going to expand outwards to encompass the caucuses, right? Azrajan, Armenia um and then it's gonna link up with uh the war in Ukraine, Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia will be involved at some point.
So we are in World War II unfortunately and this is just going to expand outwards over time. Okay. All right. Uh uh Weissaw uh Weissaw, are you here?
Yeah, I'm here. Um yeah, I was just wondering at the beginning of the C Trump's campaign, of course, he had the fossil fuel CEOs granting him um uh $1 million each as part of the political donations. And I think they all he himself admitted that he was expecting oil to spike to $200 a barrel, but it
118:46didn't um because of um you know, manipulation of the market and so on. Um so um is it possible that um he's going to prolong the war um until these oil barons get uh either higher oil prices or the plundered Venezuelan and Middle Eastern oil as a quid proquo. Uh and then of course they're going to make money as the markets crash because it has gone up so high the oil price I mean um with their put options that they probably already got in place. um uh so that's when the markets crash and they've already sold um their options and um will profit incredibly quickly uh from the crash of the markets and it sounds like um this is where they're heading on a financial level but then your the whole greater Israel and um uh Pax Judeaica uh seems to be the the main factor as we're seeing sort of um anti-semitic sort of inquiries here in Australia um where um it looks like they're trying to um uh you know frighten the whole um uh Jewish community to achieve that Judeaica thing where the Jews are supposed to return back to the Middle East um too scared in their um countries that they're in at the moment. What what do you think about that?
Yeah, so um thank thanks for that. So a few comments. Number one is um I think they're no longer concerned about oil prices. Uh maybe they were concerned about oil prices a couple months ago when they were afraid of the impact on the low economy, but I think that the war has progressed to a point where they just want to win it at all cost. Um so the so the the old price is not an issue.
I think the real issue is not the spike in oil prices. I think the real issue is the collapse in oil demand. meaning you know it's possible like the global economy suffers so much that um um the global economy basically
120:46just collapses which would just mean a collapse in global demand and I would argue that's actually the main reason why oil prices have not collapsed because China has been working very diligently to ensure oil prices do not spike all right because really uh China is completely dependent on the global economy it's an export export economy if demand if global demand collapses, China collapses as well, right? So, this is an existential crisis for for for China in a way that it's not for anyone else. Uh so, so so I would say China's in a lot of trouble right now. I think that um people have lost control over the situation. Right now, there's so much emotion.
There's so much anger and Trump wants to win this war at all cost. The American military wants revengeance for being humiliated so far in the Middle East. And um I think a lot of things will happen naturally, but [clears throat] the idea that now you have these people behind the scenes manipulating things, maybe that was true a few months ago, it's longer true today. Now I think it's just a complete dumpster fire. And um we'll we'll we'll we'll start [clears throat] really feeling it uh later in the fall.
Yeah.
Almost like a mob rule on a global scale.
I think so. I think so. I think it's a dumpster fire now. I I forget
people are focusing on oil but they're forgetting that the there needs to be uh supplies going back to the Middle East to provide not only the equipment they need for the desalination so they got water three days without water you're dead um three weeks without food you're dead so there's nothing about food going in there's nothing about medicines and more importantly for the rest of the world the precursors that do predominate from that area from that region is not getting out either. So we will see our uh medicine reserves in each country starting to get rapidly depleted and that is something we're not really sort of um uh keeping a a close
122:48watch on. Uh so we've really got to get rid of this mob rule as fast as we can.
Yeah. Yeah. No, I think people cannot possibly imagine uh the world in three months time. Uh we are really in uncharted territory. Um and there's no turning back.
I I I I think we've crossed the rubric. Um this war in Iran is a forever war and the impact on the global economy on our lives. It's something that that we can't possibly imagine. Okay. But we will feel it very soon.
Okay. So thanks a lot. Uh Ron Fritz. Ron Fritz. Uh did you have a comment or question?
Yes. Uh thank you for your time uh by the way. So
my question is why does Iran not uh receive more support from the broader Muslim world? Is it primarily because of traditional animosity between Shiite and Sunni Muslims or are there other factors? And if if it is primarily that that traditional rivalry or animosity, is that just a constant in this equation or could that possibly change as this war heats up?
Yeah. No, that's a great point. Exactly. So, the Shia are about 10% of the total uh Muslim population around the world. And Shia and Sunni rivalry goes back to ever since to the time of Muhammad.
Right? So there's a lot of bad blood between these two groups
and um you know the Arabs and the P Persian rivalry is another factor. Saudi Arabia hates Iran. In fact, I've argued that Saudi Arabia was one of the major um proponents of this war and Saudi Arabia would would want a ground invasion of Iran at some point. So this rivalry goes back a long time. What will change the equation I think is if Israel destroys the Alex mosque.
If the Alex mosque is destroyed, this is going to cause political revolutions throughout
124:49the Islamic world. Uh right now there are a lot of governments for throughout the Islamic world that have been co-opted by the United States, Malaysia, Indonesia, um uh definitely the GCC, Pakistan um these are all co-opted by the CIA. But if the Alexac mosque would were to be destroyed uh accidentally maybe um then you would have tremendous anger uh in the streets uh there would be political revolutions everywhere and a lot of these people would look to Iran as your savior. So this would change the equation uh uh significantly.
Okay.
Yeah. Thank you.
All right. All right. Uh we have uh Brian Murphy. So, um, Brian Murphy, could you please unmute yourself?
Yes. Yes. Uh, thank you. Can you hear me?
Yes, I can.
Okay, perfect. Um, so, uh, first, uh, appreciate you immensely, uh, everything you're doing. uh my my bigger comment here uh in relation to what you spoke about um previous lectures about uh Rome um Rome's ideas as far as uh hate and inverting everything from love to hate. Uh do you think that's what's playing into a lot of this? And so obviously the opposite would be an overflow of love.
So that's the main purpose at this point is for us to spread as much love as possible.
I completely agree. I I think like the elite they maintain power through spreading emotions of hatred, fear and anxiety, right? That's why consumerism is so important. That's why materialism is so important. That's why conflict is so important.
You look at mass culture, mass media, it's all about igniting as much conflict as possible, especially between the left and right, you know,
126:49and a lot of this a lot of this um conflict, it's artificial. If you look, you just talk to any person, most people would agree on 99% of issues, but like there's this 1% of issue that they they that they basically form for engagement, right? They just blow up proportion and they form for um for engagement. But most people are anti-war. Most people are anti-empire.
Most people are anti-greed, anti-corruption. And um and the solution is to find unity, right? To find love, to really start believing that you can impact the world for the better and try to find common findings that unite us rather than divide us. Okay. So, thank you, Brian.
Uh uh Molina, Molina, are you here? Melina
Melina. Yes. Hi, professor. I have a question for you. Can you please explain me how come it's so difficult to invade a country that has so mountains like like Iran and how come the nevertheless the the United States wants to do it?
Well, it's just logistics, right? So, like look look at when the Germans invaded France. It was so easy because the French had roads that you could drive your tanks on and then the French had uh gas stations, right? So, you drive a bit and then you run out of gas. Well, you just go to the gas station, you fill fill up your tank and then you keep on going.
That's why the Germans were able to conquer uh Western Europe so quickly because the infrastructure was there for conquest. And but then they went to operation um Barbar Roa when they tried to invade the Soviet Union and they were like it's a complete dumpster fire because there was no roads, there was no gas and the war machine just got back down bogged down everywhere. Okay, but the thing is and this really important is Soviet Union
128:49was flat. Now imagine you pull this crap in the desert where there are mountains, right? It's very hot. So, it's very easy for your electrical electronic equipment to get overloaded, overheated. Uh, your tanks, your equipment will run out of gas really quickly.
Uh, it's very easy to get lost. It's it's very oduous to climb the mountains and it's very hard for you to establish port operating bases, right? Places where you can rest your troops. So, the idea like they'll just cruise through uh Iran is just nonsense. Also, the American military was not set up to fight a long projected war.
They do blitz crack. They do quick operations. Uh so, think of uh the war in Iraq in 2003 where they were able to win the war in about two weeks time. Um they were doing these thunder runs around Baghdad where they just sent in their Humvees and just rode around town for a couple a couple hours and no one could stop them. Okay.
Um Um So, so yeah. So you have this American strategy that has been refined over decades of warfare and then the strategy does not work against mountains. Okay. Does that make sense?
Uh okay. Uh
makes sense. But how come the states want to do it? Why why are they
they want to go for it?
Because it's a dumpster fire now because these people live in their bubbles in Washington DC. They suffer no consequences for their actions, right? So like America loses the war, they go home. That's it. Uh look look at what happened in Vietnam.
Look at what happened in Iraq and Afghanistan. They lost all these wars and nothing happened to the general brass. The Rockies are completely insulated from the consequence of war. So they can make stupid decisions and not suffer any consequences. And honestly, um as long as this war continues, they still they still benefit politically as well as financially, right?
So the war machine
130:51in America benefits a great deal. Uh as long as they follow orders from Trump, they'll get promoted in the bureaucracy. So you have a ridiculous situation where um for the first time in human history, you have an empire which has a military bureaucracy that can never suffer any consequences for their stupidity and war. This has never happened before. Okay.
All right. Uh uh Roma. Roma, did you have a question?
Yeah. Hi professor hum.
Yes go ahead.
Yeah. Uh so obviously this whole situation created a lot of memes in our lives in a way and one of the memes I just wanted to briefly explain to you all and why why I'm mentioning this is because I think it's unfortunately a pretty decent way to understand the situation in in a part of it. So basically if you are president of the United States right you buy oil stock then you bomb Iran right so oil goes up you sell your stock you say pieces near then you then oil goes down and you buy oil stock again and you can continue in this indefinitely right so I think I may be wrong but this is in in the light of the poly market stuff in the light of corruption that going on it is pretty decent way to understand at least a part of what's going on and the motivation between it and basically it means that whatever you know you as a person believed maybe in the past that government exists to protect us all it's just not the case anymore or maybe it never was the case so I just wanted to share this idea and uh because I feel like this is being meme being kind of ridiculous but it is pretty pretty much accurate given the these days what's going on.
Thanks a lot for that. You're absolutely right. Uh this is another sign of empire decline where the elite uh is completely
132:52corrupt and incompetent. Thank you. Uh Oz, are you here? Oz, did you have a question or comment?
Oz. All right. Uh
sorry, I'm here. Sorry.
Okay. Yeah, go ahead, please.
Um I I have one comment and one question. I think earlier somebody asked um if the entire Muslim world doesn't support Iran because of Shia Sunni issues. I think a lot of it is also because so many of the governments of the Sunni countries are basically vassels of the US and Israel whether it's through money or whether it's through power or or whatever it is um certainly you know Syria and the UAE and many other examples that's I think a bigger reason and the question I have for you is the recent uh speech that Trump gave where he was very contankerous towards China very towards China does that change the way China might behave visa v the Iran war Yeah. Uh, that's a great question. Uh, my read on Trump's comments on China is it was basically just theater.
Okay. Uh, he was not that serious about it. Uh, he's looking for any pretext to interfere more in local elections, right? To have more control over state elections. So, he's basically building the narrative that will allow him to federalize elections to basically just uh take over the midterms.
Uh, that's the real intention. He doesn't really care about China. He cares about the midterms and he cares about power for a third time.
Chill.
Okay. All right. Uh, sorry. Um, uh, uh, Earl Gray Alistister,
did you have a comment or question?
Yes. Uh, thank you, professor. During uh one of the last streams, I asked you about Central Asia,
and you covered it briefly uh just saying that things can spark here and there,
but uh I was wondering if you could uh quickly just put things in the perspective of game theory. So if I just
134:53can uh offer offer a little context, I uh spend a lot of time in postsviet space and uh all of these countries like uh Kazakhstan, Kyrgystan, Usbekiststan, Turkmanistan like with the exception Afghanistan and more uh like uh regions as you go west like all those countries they have been kind of operating in this way of uh trying not to uh mess with Putin or piss him off in geopolitical sense. since the uh since USSR basically fell apart. While at the same time they have been uh very compliant with the empire and financial industrial complex uh establishing their uh connections with capitalism and uh western enterprises keep flooding in there like um businesses like McDonald's and you name it. uh although lately like with the beginning of the Russia Ukraine war uh there has uh like Kazakhstan began began expressing their uh basically dis they were discontent with the with Russia's um engagement. So like uh again I'm sorry uh to summarize if these places are ran by elites that kind of look out for their interest turning uh to Putin then turning to the US allowing them to uh put their bases there.
How do you think things can potentially play out if we uh expect things to pick up in sense of World War II and u yeah what can happen?
Yeah. Okay. So that's a great point and I don't know that much about Central Asia but you're actually right in that there are three major powers vying for influence in Central Asia right you got China with its belt and road initiative you've got Russia uh which has military bases throughout the region you got you also have the United States which also has military bases throughout the region and you're absolutely right in that you know these these countries Tajikistan Kazakhstan um all of them they want to maintain neutrality you know they want to
136:54basically navigate great power rivalry uh and try to benefit as much as possible from this rivalry. The problem though is like eventually these great powers will want them to pick a side and uh we we can expect um over the next 10 years a lot of coup d'etas a lot of um political revolutions color revolutions a lot of political assassinations within uh central Asia as China, Russia and United States attempt to um control the region for their own benefit. The reality is like this war in Iran cannot be won. And so what's going to happen is this conflict is going to expand outwards. So um a country will watch very closely will be a Azaran, right?
Because Azaran is very close to both Israel and United States. And um as this war progresses, what what Russia is going to do is reinforce tan through the Caspian Sea. And so what what what the United States wants to do is create as much conflict in that region as possible. Uh Kazak is also very important. Um Central Asia is very important because how China will will reinforce um uh Tran is through railway system, right?
So transport goods from China across central Asia to Tran. And so the Americans will want to disrupt this. Uh so so it it would be a great game again. uh and you'll have the United States trying to create as much confident chaos in such as Asia in Central Asia as possible in order to blockade to isolate um Iran. Okay.
So that's that's what I think is going to happen. Okay. Thank thank you. Uh Oz, are you here?
Sorry, I already asked my question.
Oh, sorry. Okay. Uh Farad Farad. Hello. Um, so my question is, well, so so you say that this ground evasion
138:54would be a dumpster fire and and I completely agree with you, but for the sake of a hypothetical, what if everything went right for the Americans that that the Kurds do fight that um that Azarbaijan gets involved and maybe even the UK um and there are uprisings and the IRGC is just fighting on on every side. Um,
yep.
Would would
would that be a turning point for the American Empire or or would that just sort of delay the collapse?
Yeah, that would delay the collapse because next play would be this. Let's just assume hypothetically everything goes perfectly well for the Americans in Iran. Then what would happen is this, North Korea takes the stage. Okay, does that make sense? Okay, so I'm I'm Vlad Putin
and I'm like I can't afford for the United States to take over Iran because that completely screws me over right now. The United States can completely focus on the war in Ukraine and my entire southern flank has opened up. Central Asia now goes to America, right? The war is over. So what do I do?
I open up a new front which is North Korea. And I force the United States to deal with North Korea, right? And North Korea has nuclear weapons. And it's it's it has artillery uh that can threaten soul. It can lobby missiles into Japan.
So so the United States has no choice but to deal with South Korea now to but to deal with North Korea now, right? So that that that's what would happen. I think this will happen naturally anyway. But if it's clear that this relation is going too well, then North Korea takes takes the stage.
Gotcha. Um, so I I I was going to you sort of answered, but you don't think that Russia would then pull out of Ukraine, that they would take a step back, that they would just double down?
No way. What would happen is if you Russia were to pull out of Ukraine, then Russia would be dead in 20 years time because then what would happen is a complete embargo on Russia. Now, a really important factor that people don't appreciate is China is not signing
140:54the power of Siberia 2 pipeline deal. Okay. So the idea is um if China were to sign the power of Siberia to a pipeline deal, Russia could supply China with all the energy needs that China u has um but this would be bad for China longer term because it makes China completely dependent on Russia, right? Basically Russia would have infinite financing from China and then China would be would have infinite financing from uh sorry infinite energy from from Russia. But this would tie the destinies of these two countries together.
The fact that China is not signing this deal means that basically Russia is alone on the world stage. There's alliance between China and Russia, it's all theater. It's not really taking place. And so Russia, if it were to retreat from Ukraine, if Iran were to fall, Russia would be dead in 20 years time. There'll be no hope for for Russia.
It' be completely isolating the world. So it cannot afford for Iran to fall. Iran is the ultimate battle, the final battle uh for Russia. Okay. And that's why North Korea will have to take the stage.
Okay. Thank you.
Thank you. All right. Um so guys, I'm really tired. I I I I know there are more questions, but uh unfortunately, you know, I'm exhausted and we'll we'll we'll continue this. Okay.
So, as this war continues in the Middle East, if there's a Iran invasion, there'll definitely be an emergency live stream. Okay. So, so let let uh we'll do one more question. Okay. So, Roma uh can you ask your question please?
And this will be the last question. So, I apologize to Dia and HH uh I but but I can't get to you. I'm so exhausted from from today. Okay. So, Roma uh ask your question and and that be it.
Yeah. Thank you. Uh I just wanted to give you one more followup I guess. So, uh for some time I had this uh you know uh feedback I guess. So as a Russian I found that a certain bias or romanticizing like in your attitude
142:54towards you know Russian people, Russian leaders which I wanted to point out for your awareness. Uh two examples, two small examples, right? So in a video about Russia, you mentioned that Russian Russians became happier because of the war. So my personal opinion uh nobody's happy seen like their relative sons husbands killed for nothing and the war already had visible implications for Russian people that are impossible to ignore for them and second one uh regarding uh Russian leader right so you mentioned that Russian president is a strategic gen genius but uh these days what we can witness is Russia in decline and economic crisis ravaging and the war ravages on the Russian territory so uh and which once was perceived as one of the strongest militaries in the world is now humiliated basically. So my impression from observing Russian reality firsthand for decades is that Russian leader never had any plan or vision other than like stealing as much money as possible and spending it on luxury.
uh which would make him similar to many world leaders really and the war which is really war with Ukraine is the only I think unfortunate exception to uh absence of his vision. Uh I would say
okay thanks so much for that. Uh I really appreciate that that perspective. Again I have never been to Russia. I I don't know that many Russians and I agree with a lot of things you say. I think like the war is not going well for Russia and these attacks on uh Russian oil refineries.
It's going to cause a lot of damage to the Russian economy. And I can I can appreciate that there are a lot of Russians Russians or are unhappy about this war. But I will still say that I think that Putin is a genius. He is he does know what he's doing. Of all the world leaders that I've seen, um I think that only Putin uh seems to know what he's doing.
I'm able to actually predict what he does because he's very strategic. He's very long-term thinking.
144:55So, I I think that North Korea will come into play soon. Uh because that if I'm Putin, that that that's that's the next logical step to to extend the war to East Asia, which will then put a put more pressure on the American military. Um I will also say, and you you and I was will have to disagree is I do think Putin does love his country. I think Putin loves his country and I I think Putin loves his people. The way he does it is something that you and I may disagree with, but I think he's genuine in his in his love for for Russia.
Okay, so I will leave it there, guys. So, thanks so much for today. It was a lot of fun and uh um if there's another um breaking news, then I'll I'll do another uh live stream. Okay, so thanks so much, guys, and I will see you next time. Bye-bye.